Deal Check

Found a listing the feed has not seen? Paste it here. We fetch it from eBay, identify the card or sealed product, look up the TCGplayer market price, read the condition and score it with exactly the rules behind every deal on this site. You get the verdict and every number that went into it.

What each number means

Landed price: Item price plus shipping to the US. Auctions use the current bid. When the seller uses calculated shipping we cannot see the cost, so we assume $4.99 and lower confidence. This is the number you actually pay, which is why every comparison starts here.
Market: The TCGplayer market price for the matched card in the variant the title implies (Holofoil, Normal or Reverse Holofoil; for sealed products, the product itself). Refreshed daily from TCGCSV. This is our only baseline: a seller’s own “was $X” discount is never used.
Condition: The market price is a Near Mint price, and the site has no sourced price for any other condition, so only a card listing whose condition is stated as Near Mint is scored. A played copy, or a listing that states no condition, is shown without a Deal Score. eBay’s structured condition descriptors win over words in the title. Sealed products have no condition and are scored against their own market price.
Below market: How far the landed price sits under the market price, as a percentage. A listing needs at least 12% to qualify; 50% below earns the maximum raw score.
Deal Score: 0 to 100. The raw score from the discount, multiplied by (0.5 + 0.5 × confidence), then by 0.7 for auctions, partly because the bid can still rise and partly because eBay pays a commission on an auction only when the bid is placed within 24 hours of the click and the auction is won within 10 days. Anything the rules reject scores 0. Scores of 75 and up are marked hot; 50 to 74 good.
Confidence: How sure we are that the match, the condition and the baseline are right. It starts from the match method (set + number + name is best), then drops when the condition comes from the title rather than eBay’s condition descriptor (for a sealed product, when eBay’s condition field does not say New), for unknown shipping, wide market spreads, sub-$10 cards, new or low-feedback sellers and multi-quantity titles. Below 50% we do not call it a deal.

What Deal Check will not score

Graded cards. We show the raw NM market for reference, but a graded slab is a different product with its own price, which can be above or below the raw price, and we do not have a graded baseline yet.
Lots, bulk, you-pick, mystery and playset listings, code cards, proxies, custom cards and merchandise: one price must describe one item.
Non-English prints. The matcher reads English listings only. Japanese printings have their own TCGplayer prices on their own pages, and this site never compares one with an English price.
Listings whose title does not carry enough to identify the card. Set name plus number (as 123/456) plus card name matches reliably; a bare name rarely does.

Good to know

If the listing is already in our feed you will see a link to its deal entry with the full reasoning.
Prices implausibly far below market (under 10% of it) are rejected on purpose; they are almost always a wrong match or a scam. So is a price under 65% of the cheapest copy TCGplayer lists, in any condition: the first two listings to score 75 or more after the October 9, 2026 condition change were not the card their titles named. For an auction the current bid is held to the same line, and that says nothing about the listing: the bid can still rise.
The eBay link on the result is an affiliate link; we earn a commission if you buy, at no cost to you. The verdict does not depend on it.
The full formula, thresholds and data sources are on the methodology page. Wrong match? Tell us with the item number.