One Piece Card Game
Carrying On His Will Sleeved Booster Pack – price, expected value & history
$20.08TCGplayer market · updated 1h ago
- Type
- Booster Pack
- Booster packs
- 1, 12 cards each
- Released
- Nov 7, 2025
- Language
- English
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Expected value of opening
0.12×estimated pull ratescomputed Sep 19, 2026Averaged over many booster packs, the cards inside are worth about $2.43 at today’s TCGplayer market prices against a market price of $20.08. That average includes the rarest printings (SP card, Treasure Rare, Gold DON!! card), which are seeded by the case, so most boxes contain none of them. Boxes without one average about $1.73 per booster pack (9% of the price), and a single box is often lower still: about half have no Secret Rare and two in three no alternate-art leader. Bandai publishes no odds. Every rate below is a community estimate (published guides, one structural collation model and a few counted case openings) and is shown with its basis and how much confidence it deserves. This is information, not advice: opening sealed product is a gamble with a skewed payout, and buying the single is the cheaper way to get a specific card.
- EV, all tiers
- $2.43
- long-run average over many booster packs
- EV, no case hit
- $1.73
- average without the case-seeded tiers
- Range
- $1.59 to $2.79
- low and high rates where sources disagree
- EV per pack
- $2.43
- 1 pack in this booster pack
- EV net
- $1.78
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card worth selling
- Break-even price
- $2.43
- pay less than this and opening matches buying singles on average
- Case-hit share
- 29%
- share of the average that comes from case hits
- Bulk rares
- $0.32
- listed below, hard to sell, not in any total
| Printing | Cards | Estimated rate | Card price | Adds | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternate Art (not a leader)1.3 per box · 30 cards, median $18.80Most valuable: St. Marcus Mars (Parallel) · $492.63 (cards in this tier are not equally likely)medium confidence: About 1.67 alternate arts per box including leaders (guides say 2; the structural table says 16 plus 4 leaders per case), less the leader tier. How they split between Rare, Super Rare and Secret Rare alternate arts is not documented, so the median price is used: a rare, expensive Secret Rare alternate art cannot lift it. | 30 | 1.3 per box1 per box to 1.7 per box | $18.80median | $1.04 | medium confidence: About 1.67 alternate arts per box including leaders (guides say 2; the structural table says 16 plus 4 leaders per case), less the leader tier. How they split between Rare, Super Rare and Secret Rare alternate arts is not documented, so the median price is used: a rare, expensive Secret Rare alternate art cannot lift it. |
| SP cardcase hit1 in 6 boxes · 6 cards, median $76.03Most valuable: Monkey.D.Luffy - OP09-119 (SP) · $375.25 (cards in this tier are not equally likely)medium confidence: About 2 per case from OP-06 on, stated by four guides with no sample. An average, not a guarantee: one counted OP-16 case had 5. Whether every SP in a set is equally likely is not documented, so the median SP price is used; gold, silver and wanted-poster SP variants are much rarer and are not counted. | 6 | 1 in 6 boxes1 in 12 boxes to 1 in 6 boxes | $76.03median | $0.53 | medium confidence: About 2 per case from OP-06 on, stated by four guides with no sample. An average, not a guarantee: one counted OP-16 case had 5. Whether every SP in a set is equally likely is not documented, so the median SP price is used; gold, silver and wanted-poster SP variants are much rarer and are not counted. |
| Alternate Art leader1 in 3 boxes · 6 cards, median $23.23Most valuable: Monkey.D.Luffy (001) (Alternate Art) · $41.80 (cards in this tier are not equally likely)medium confidence: About 4 per case in three independent sources; one counted OP-16 case had 3. About two boxes in three have none. | 6 | 1 in 3 boxes1 in 4 boxes to 1 in 3 boxes | $23.23median | $0.32 | medium confidence: About 4 per case in three independent sources; one counted OP-16 case had 3. About two boxes in three have none. |
| Super Rare7 per box · 10 cards, mean $0.75Most valuable: Ace & Sabo & Luffy · $2.48medium confidence: About 7 per English box in five sources, treated as a box guarantee by the OP-17 case data. Guides quoting 3 to 5 describe Japanese boxes. | 10 | 7 per box6 per box to 8 per box | $0.75mean | $0.22 | medium confidence: About 7 per English box in five sources, treated as a box guarantee by the OP-17 case data. Guides quoting 3 to 5 describe Japanese boxes. |
| Secret Rare1 in 2 boxes · 3 cards, mean $7.09Most valuable: Monkey.D.Luffy (118) · $13.12low confidence: About 1 in 2 boxes. Counted English openings give 0.33 to 0.5 per box; the structural table says 8 per case (0.67). The often repeated "1 per box" is not supported for recent sets. | 3 | 1 in 2 boxes1 in 3 boxes to 1 in 1 boxes | $7.09mean | $0.15 | low confidence: About 1 in 2 boxes. Counted English openings give 0.33 to 0.5 per box; the structural table says 8 per case (0.67). The often repeated "1 per box" is not supported for recent sets. |
| Treasure Rarecase hit1 in 12 boxes · 1 card, mean $40.21Most valuable: Monkey.D.Luffy - OP11-058 (TR) · $40.21low confidence: Up to about 1 per case (three OP-17 cases and one OP-16 case). No lower bound is documented, so the low figure counts none. | 1 | 1 in 12 boxesnone counted to 1 in 12 boxes | $40.21mean | $0.14 | low confidence: Up to about 1 per case (three OP-17 cases and one OP-16 case). No lower bound is documented, so the low figure counts none. |
| Gold DON!! cardcase hit1 in 6 boxes · 1 card, mean $4.69Most valuable: DON!! Card (Gol.D.Roger) (Gold) · $4.69medium confidence: About 2 per English case (counted cases: 1 in OP-16, 2 to 3 in OP-15). Sets with several gold designs share the rate. | 1 | 1 in 6 boxes1 in 12 boxes to 1 in 4 boxes | $4.69mean | $0.03 | medium confidence: About 2 per English case (counted cases: 1 in OP-16, 2 to 3 in OP-15). Sets with several gold designs share the rate. |
| Rare (bulk)not in the totals24 per box · 26 cards, mean $0.32Most valuable: I Know You're Strong... So I'll Go All Out from the Very Start!!! · $1.34low confidence: At least one Rare per pack is the only sourced figure, so 24 per box. Shown for reference and NOT added to any total: bulk is hard to sell, and no source gives counts for commons, uncommons or base leaders. Each card is capped at $5. | 26 | 24 per box | $0.32mean | $0.32 | low confidence: At least one Rare per pack is the only sourced figure, so 24 per box. Shown for reference and NOT added to any total: bulk is hard to sell, and no source gives counts for commons, uncommons or base leaders. Each card is capped at $5. |
Sources and model notes (rates last reviewed Sep 19, 2026)
- tcgtalk, OP-17 pull rates and case opening: about three English cases (1,000+ packs), openers not named; the largest English sample found.
- tcgtalk, OP-16 pull rates and case opening: one itemised English case: 5 SP, 5 SEC, 3 alternate-art leaders, 1 gold DON!!, 1 Treasure Rare, 0 manga.
- onepiecepacksimulator, pull rates explained: per-case structure: 4 alternate-art leaders, 2 SP from OP-06 on, manga about 1 in 5 cases; no sample stated.
- slab-z, rarities and pull rates guide (2026): about 7 SR per box, SEC 1 in 3 boxes, about 2 alternate arts per box; no sample stated.
- pack-ev collation table (tcgtrading.cards): a structural model its author calls approximations, not counted data: per case SR 84, SEC 8, alt art 16 + 4 leaders, SP 2, manga 0.25, gold DON!! 2.
- Bandai, OP-13 product page: official: USD $4.99 per pack. Bandai publishes no odds and no box MSRP.
- Pull rates are community estimates for English boxes (24 packs of 12 cards, 12 boxes per case), last reviewed 2026-09-19. Bandai publishes none.
- Not included because no English rate exists: Super Alternate Art and Super Leader Alternate Art cards, gold, silver and wanted-poster SP variants, special-foil and alternate-art DON!! cards, and anniversary cards. The true average is therefore somewhat higher than shown. Bulk (rares, commons, uncommons, base leaders) is in no total: it is hard to sell.
- A tier's rate is shared by every card in the tier, and per-case figures are averages, not guarantees.
- 10 priced cards of $5 or more are in no tier (printings with no known rate, such as Super Alternate Art and SP variants) and are not counted
Price history last 180 days
Other Carrying On His Will products
| Product | Type | Packs | Market EV ratio | EV (gross) | EV ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Carrying On His Will Booster BoxBooster Box · 24 packs · EV $58.25 | Booster Box | 24 | $448.310.13× | $58.25 | 0.13× |
 Carrying On His Will Booster PackBooster Pack · 1 pack · EV $2.43 | Booster Pack | 1 | $11.850.20× | $2.43 | 0.20× |
 Carrying On His Will Booster Box CaseCase | Case | — | $6,009 | — | n/a |
ONE PIECE ©Eiichiro Oda/Shueisha, Toei Animation. One Piece Card Game is published by Bandai. Pullnomics is not affiliated with Bandai.