One Piece Card Game
Royal Blood Booster Box – price, expected value & history
$251.83TCGplayer market · updated 1h ago
- Type
- Booster Box
- Booster packs
- 24, 12 cards each
- Released
- Mar 21, 2025
- Language
- English
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TCGplayer market is $251.83; anything listed under $221.61 is at least 12% below it before shipping. The buttons open eBay already filtered to Buy It Now, US sellers, proxies / lots / code cards excluded, sorted by price plus shipping. If eBay shows no matches for the first button, nothing is listed below market right now: use the second button to see every current price, or save the search on eBay. Listings under $125.00 are left out because at that price they are almost always a different item. Japanese printings share the same card numbers and sell for less, so listings that say Japanese, JP or JPN are excluded; check the language in the photos before you buy.
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Expected value of opening
0.30×estimated pull ratescomputed Sep 19, 2026Averaged over many booster boxes, the cards inside are worth about $76.79 at today’s TCGplayer market prices against a market price of $251.83. That average includes the rarest printings (Manga rare, SP card, Treasure Rare), which are seeded by the case, so most boxes contain none of them. Boxes without one average about $39.87 per booster box (16% of the price), and a single box is often lower still: about half have no Secret Rare and two in three no alternate-art leader. Bandai publishes no odds. Every rate below is a community estimate (published guides, one structural collation model and a few counted case openings) and is shown with its basis and how much confidence it deserves. This is information, not advice: opening sealed product is a gamble with a skewed payout, and buying the single is the cheaper way to get a specific card.
- EV, all tiers
- $76.79
- long-run average over many booster boxes
- EV, no case hit
- $39.87
- average without the case-seeded tiers
- Range
- $48 to $99
- low and high rates where sources disagree
- EV per pack
- $3.20
- 24 packs in this booster box
- EV net
- $55.84
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card worth selling
- Break-even price
- $76.79
- pay less than this and opening matches buying singles on average
- Case-hit share
- 48%
- share of the average that comes from case hits
- Bulk rares
- $6.93
- listed below, hard to sell, not in any total
| Printing | Cards | Estimated rate | Card price | Adds | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternate Art (not a leader)1.3 per box · 18 cards, median $12.86Most valuable: Divine Departure (Parallel) · $63.93 (cards in this tier are not equally likely)low confidence: About 1.67 alternate arts per box including leaders (guides say 2; the structural table says 16 plus 4 leaders per case), less the leader tier. How they split between Rare, Super Rare and Secret Rare alternate arts is not documented, so the median price is used: a rare, expensive Secret Rare alternate art cannot lift it. | 18 | 1.3 per box1 per box to 1.7 per box | $12.86median | $17.10 | low confidence: About 1.67 alternate arts per box including leaders (guides say 2; the structural table says 16 plus 4 leaders per case), less the leader tier. How they split between Rare, Super Rare and Secret Rare alternate arts is not documented, so the median price is used: a rare, expensive Secret Rare alternate art cannot lift it. |
| Manga rarecase hit1 in 48 boxes · 1 card, median $699.36Most valuable: Trafalgar Law (119) (Manga) · $699.36 (cards in this tier are not equally likely)low confidence: About 1 per 4 cases for the whole tier; sources range from 1 per 2 cases to 1 per 6. No counted sample exists: both itemised English cases had none. | 1 | 1 in 48 boxes1 in 71 boxes to 1 in 24 boxes | $699.36median | $14.69 | low confidence: About 1 per 4 cases for the whole tier; sources range from 1 per 2 cases to 1 per 6. No counted sample exists: both itemised English cases had none. |
| SP cardcase hit1 in 6 boxes · 6 cards, median $86.78Most valuable: Edward.Newgate (SP) · $255.01 (cards in this tier are not equally likely)low confidence: About 2 per case from OP-06 on, stated by four guides with no sample. An average, not a guarantee: one counted OP-16 case had 5. Whether every SP in a set is equally likely is not documented, so the median SP price is used; gold, silver and wanted-poster SP variants are much rarer and are not counted. | 6 | 1 in 6 boxes1 in 12 boxes to 1 in 6 boxes | $86.78median | $14.49 | low confidence: About 2 per case from OP-06 on, stated by four guides with no sample. An average, not a guarantee: one counted OP-16 case had 5. Whether every SP in a set is equally likely is not documented, so the median SP price is used; gold, silver and wanted-poster SP variants are much rarer and are not counted. |
| Super Rare7 per box · 10 cards, mean $1.91Most valuable: Sanji · $10.21low confidence: About 7 per English box in five sources, treated as a box guarantee by the OP-17 case data. Guides quoting 3 to 5 describe Japanese boxes. | 10 | 7 per box6 per box to 8 per box | $1.91mean | $13.36 | low confidence: About 7 per English box in five sources, treated as a box guarantee by the OP-17 case data. Guides quoting 3 to 5 describe Japanese boxes. |
| Treasure Rarecase hit1 in 12 boxes · 1 card, mean $93.36Most valuable: Portgas.D.Ace (TR) · $93.36low confidence: Up to about 1 per case (three OP-17 cases and one OP-16 case). No lower bound is documented, so the low figure counts none. | 1 | 1 in 12 boxesnone counted to 1 in 12 boxes | $93.36mean | $7.75 | low confidence: Up to about 1 per case (three OP-17 cases and one OP-16 case). No lower bound is documented, so the low figure counts none. |
| Alternate Art leader1 in 3 boxes · 6 cards, median $20.89Most valuable: Eustass"Captain"Kid (099) (Parallel) · $32.02 (cards in this tier are not equally likely)low confidence: About 4 per case in three independent sources; one counted OP-16 case had 3. About two boxes in three have none. | 6 | 1 in 3 boxes1 in 4 boxes to 1 in 3 boxes | $20.89median | $6.89 | low confidence: About 4 per case in three independent sources; one counted OP-16 case had 3. About two boxes in three have none. |
| Secret Rare1 in 2 boxes · 2 cards, mean $5.05Most valuable: Trafalgar Law (119) · $5.87low confidence: About 1 in 2 boxes. Counted English openings give 0.33 to 0.5 per box; the structural table says 8 per case (0.67). The often repeated "1 per box" is not supported for recent sets. | 2 | 1 in 2 boxes1 in 3 boxes to 1 in 1 boxes | $5.05mean | $2.52 | low confidence: About 1 in 2 boxes. Counted English openings give 0.33 to 0.5 per box; the structural table says 8 per case (0.67). The often repeated "1 per box" is not supported for recent sets. |
| Rare (bulk)not in the totals24 per box · 26 cards, mean $0.29Most valuable: Cavendish (045) · $1.46low confidence: At least one Rare per pack is the only sourced figure, so 24 per box. Shown for reference and NOT added to any total: bulk is hard to sell, and no source gives counts for commons, uncommons or base leaders. Each card is capped at $5. | 26 | 24 per box | $0.29mean | $6.93 | low confidence: At least one Rare per pack is the only sourced figure, so 24 per box. Shown for reference and NOT added to any total: bulk is hard to sell, and no source gives counts for commons, uncommons or base leaders. Each card is capped at $5. |
Sources and model notes (rates last reviewed Sep 19, 2026)
- tcgtalk, OP-17 pull rates and case opening: about three English cases (1,000+ packs), openers not named; the largest English sample found.
- tcgtalk, OP-16 pull rates and case opening: one itemised English case: 5 SP, 5 SEC, 3 alternate-art leaders, 1 gold DON!!, 1 Treasure Rare, 0 manga.
- onepiecepacksimulator, pull rates explained: per-case structure: 4 alternate-art leaders, 2 SP from OP-06 on, manga about 1 in 5 cases; no sample stated.
- slab-z, rarities and pull rates guide (2026): about 7 SR per box, SEC 1 in 3 boxes, about 2 alternate arts per box; no sample stated.
- pack-ev collation table (tcgtrading.cards): a structural model its author calls approximations, not counted data: per case SR 84, SEC 8, alt art 16 + 4 leaders, SP 2, manga 0.25, gold DON!! 2.
- Bandai, OP-13 product page: official: USD $4.99 per pack. Bandai publishes no odds and no box MSRP.
- Pull rates are community estimates for English boxes (24 packs of 12 cards, 12 boxes per case), last reviewed 2026-09-19. Bandai publishes none.
- Not included because no English rate exists: Super Alternate Art and Super Leader Alternate Art cards, gold, silver and wanted-poster SP variants, special-foil and alternate-art DON!! cards, and anniversary cards. The true average is therefore somewhat higher than shown. Bulk (rares, commons, uncommons, base leaders) is in no total: it is hard to sell.
- A tier's rate is shared by every card in the tier, and per-case figures are averages, not guarantees.
- For sets before OP-13 no counted case data was found at all: the same ranges are reused and every tier is marked low confidence.
Price history last 180 days
Other Royal Blood products
| Product | Type | Packs | Market EV ratio | EV (gross) | EV ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Royal Blood - Sleeved Booster PackBooster Pack · 1 pack · EV $3.20 | Booster Pack | 1 | $10.150.32× | $3.20 | 0.32× |
 Royal Blood Booster PackBooster Pack · 1 pack · EV $3.20 | Booster Pack | 1 | $9.750.33× | $3.20 | 0.33× |
 Royal Blood Booster Box CaseCase | Case | — | $2,405 | — | n/a |
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