Brilliant Stars Elite Trainer Box – price, EV & deals
From Brilliant Stars · Sword & Shield
$160.72TCGplayer market · updated 2h ago0.16×
Listings range $160.86 – $600.00, mid $190.25
- Product type
- Elite Trainer Box
- Packs
- 9 packs
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- Feb 25, 2022
Price history last 180 days
Expected value of opening
0.16×computed Sep 15, 2026Well below break-even: opening returns only about 16% of the $160.72 price in raw card value. Hold sealed for appreciation or buy singles; do not open this expecting to recover the cost.
- EV per pack
- $2.85
- 9 packs per elite trainer box
- EV gross
- $25.66
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- EV net
- $16.94
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.11× price
- Break-even price
- $25.66
- pay less than this and opening beats buying singles on average
- Chase share
- 20%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret)
- P(at least one top hit)
- 52%
- in the whole elite trainer box
- Hit rate per pack
- 8%
- illustration rare or better
- Pull rates
- Published
- source: published
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rare Ultra | 21 | 1 in 19 packs | $23.97 | $1.26 | Charizard V #154 · $295.73 |
| Rare Holo V | 20 | 1 in 7.5 packs | $1.67 | $0.22 | Charizard V #17 · $7.80 |
| Rare Secret | 6 | 1 in 67 packs | $14.04 | $0.21 | Galarian Moltres V #183 · $21.14 |
| Rare Rainbow | 8 | 1 in 78 packs | $14.13 | $0.18 | Charizard VSTAR #174 · $71.24 |
| Rare Holo VSTAR | 4 | 1 in 53 packs | $5.18 | $0.10 | Charizard VSTAR #18 · $12.10 |
| Guaranteed slots | — | every pack | — | $0.88 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Model notes (1)
- no cards with rarity "Trainer Gallery Rare Holo" in set
Active eBay deals
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Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $160.72), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline with a confident card, condition and variant match — seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment; listings are re-checked every 15 minutes.
