Pokemon GO Poke Ball Tin Display – price, EV & deals

From Pokémon GO · Sword & Shield

$275.00TCGplayer market · updated 2h ago0.05×

Listings range $398.93 – $398.99, mid $398.96

Product type: Tin
Packs: 5 packs
Cards per pack: 10
Released: Aug 26, 2022

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Price history last 180 days

Market$275.00One daily snapshot so far — the line fills in as TCGplayer market prices are captured each day (up to 180 days shown).

Expected value of opening

0.05×computed Sep 15, 2026

Well below break-even: opening returns only about 5% of the $275.00 price in raw card value. Hold sealed for appreciation or buy singles; do not open this expecting to recover the cost.

EV per pack: $3.02; 5 packs per tin
EV gross: $15.10; raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
EV net: $9.45; after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.03× price
Break-even price: $15.10; pay less than this and opening beats buying singles on average
Chase share: 18%; share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret)
P(at least one top hit): 40%; in the whole tin
Hit rate per pack: 10%; illustration rare or better
Pull rates: Era default; no set-specific counts yet; using swsh averages

Per-rarity contribution to EV per pack. Mean price is the average TCGplayer market of every card at that rarity in the set.
Rarity	Cards	Pull rate	Mean price	EV / pack	Top card
Radiant Rare	3	1 in 22 packs	$13.89	$0.63	Radiant Charizard #11 · $20.13
Rare Ultra	8	1 in 30 packs	$11.33	$0.38	Mewtwo V #72 · $59.55
Rare Holo V	6	1 in 8 packs	$2.24	$0.28	Mewtwo V #30 · $5.39
Rare Holo VSTAR	2	1 in 30 packs	$6.73	$0.22	Mewtwo VSTAR #31 · $9.30
Rare Rainbow	7	1 in 100 packs	$21.54	$0.22	Mewtwo VSTAR #79 · $56.24
Rare Secret	3	1 in 100 packs	$14.30	$0.14	Mewtwo VSTAR #86 · $36.99
Rare Holo VMAX	1	1 in 22 packs	$1.77	$0.08	Melmetal VMAX #48 · $1.77
Guaranteed slots	—	every pack	—	$1.07	rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value

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Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $275.00), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline with a confident card, condition and variant match — seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment; listings are re-checked every 15 minutes.

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Other Pokémon GO sealed products

Product	Type	Packs	Market	EV (gross)	EV ratio	Deals
Pokemon GO Elite Trainer Box	Elite Trainer Box	9	$171.22	$27.18	0.16×	—
Pokemon GO Booster Pack	Booster Pack	1	$13.68	$3.02	0.22×	—
Pokemon GO Collection [Alolan Exeggutor V]	Collection Box	—	$51.06	—	n/a	—