Evolving Skies Half Booster Box
From Evolving Skies · Sword & Shield
The cards inside are worth $124.12 on average at TCGplayer market prices, 8% of the price, before any selling fees. How that is worked out

Listings range $2,800 – $2,800, mid $2,800
- Product type
- Booster Box
- Packs
- 18 packs
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- Aug 27, 2021
Shop this product on eBay
TCGplayer market is $1,595. Anything listed under $1,404 is at least 12% below it before shipping.
Buy It Now · US sellers · English printing · Lowest price first
No matches on the first button means this search found nothing listed under that price right now. The second button shows every current price.
What these searches leave out
Proxies, lots, code cards and other-language printings are excluded, and results are Buy It Now from US sellers, sorted by price plus shipping. Listings under $797.00 are left out because at that price they are almost always a different item. “Recently sold” opens eBay’s own sold listings for the same search, auctions included: what copies sold for, on eBay’s site. This site records none of those prices. You can save either search on eBay to be emailed new matches.
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Price history up to 180 days
What’s in the box
18 packs × 10 cards = 180 cards
The standard count for this kind of product. No source is cited for this product in particular.
Expected value of opening
0.08×computed Oct 30, 2026Well below break-even: the cards inside are worth about 8% of the $1,595 price on average at market prices. For specific cards, singles cost less.
- EV per pack
- $6.90
- 18 packs per booster box
- EV gross
- $124.12
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- of which bulk
- $7.56
- the common and uncommon slots, at half their capped market price; not individually sellable
- EV net
- $95.82
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.06× price
- Break-even price
- $124.12
- the price at which gross EV equals what you paid, before any cost of selling
- Chase share
- 79%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret, a separate alternate-art tier)
- P(at least one hit)
- 66%
- any hit tier, in the whole booster box: Illustration Rare or better, or a special tier such as ACE SPEC, shiny or gallery cards
- Hit rate per pack
- 6%
- Illustration Rare or better, or a special tier such as ACE SPEC, shiny or gallery cards
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Avg. per booster box | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternate Art VMAX1 in 312 packs · avg. 0.06 per booster box · 6 cards, mean $748.86Top: Umbreon VMAX #215 · $2,210 | 6 | 1 in 312 packs | 0.06 | $748.86 | $2.40 | Umbreon VMAX #215 · $2,210 |
| Alternate Art V1 in 96 packs · avg. 0.19 per booster box · 11 cards, mean $197.67Top: Dragonite V #192 · $478.56 | 11 | 1 in 96 packs | 0.19 | $197.67 | $2.06 | Dragonite V #192 · $478.56 |
| Rare Holo VMAX1 in 16.5 packs · avg. 1.1 per booster box · 15 cards, mean $9.82Top: Umbreon VMAX #95 · $29.72 | 15 | 1 in 16.5 packs | 1.1 | $9.82 | $0.60 | Umbreon VMAX #95 · $29.72 |
| Rare Ultra1 in 36.5 packs · avg. 0.49 per booster box · 27 cards, mean $15.76Top: Rayquaza V #193 · $64.41 | 27 | 1 in 36.5 packs | 0.49 | $15.76 | $0.43 | Rayquaza V #193 · $64.41 |
| Rare Rainbow1 in 113 packs · avg. 0.16 per booster box · 16 cards, mean $27.20Top: Rayquaza VMAX #217 · $104.33 | 16 | 1 in 113 packs | 0.16 | $27.20 | $0.24 | Rayquaza VMAX #217 · $104.33 |
| Rare Holo V1 in 9 packs · avg. 2.0 per booster box · 18 cards, mean $2.16Top: Umbreon V #94 · $8.04 | 18 | 1 in 9 packs | 2.0 | $2.16 | $0.24 | Umbreon V #94 · $8.04 |
| Rare Secret1 in 105.5 packs · avg. 0.17 per booster box · 12 cards, mean $7.58Top: Darkness Energy #236 · $19.30 | 12 | 1 in 105.5 packs | 0.17 | $7.58 | $0.07 | Darkness Energy #236 · $19.30 |
| Guaranteed slotsevery pack: rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value | — | every pack | — | — | $0.86 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Active eBay deals
Save a deal alert (emails are not sending yet)No deals right now
Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $1,595), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline and its card, condition and variant match is rated at least 50% confident, more for deeper discounts (above 85% from 40% off, above 95% from 70% off). A card listing must also state Near Mint, because a card’s market price is a Near Mint price. Seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment. The eBay scan runs every 3 hours.
Guides for this product
- Is Evolving Skies worth opening? Box EV and the Umbreon VMAX oddsHow Evolving Skies sealed products compare on price per pack and expected value, and what the cards in a box are worth against its price.
- How to spot resealed Pokémon booster boxes, ETBs and packsRed flags for resealed product in a listing, and what to check before you open it.
- How we compute sealed EV (and why most boxes are negative EV)How the expected value on this page is calculated, and what it does and does not tell you.
- Booster box vs Elite Trainer Box vs booster bundle: cost per packBooster box, Elite Trainer Box or bundle: what each costs per pack and who each one suits.
Other Evolving Skies sealed products
| Product | Type | Packs | Market EV ratio | Per pack | EV (gross) | EV ratio | Deals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Evolving Skies 3 Pack Blister [Eiscue]Blister · 3 packs ($74.44 each) · EV $20.69 | Blister | 3 | $223.310.09× | $74.44 | $20.69 | 0.09× | — |
Evolving Skies 3 Pack Blister [Umbreon]Blister · 3 packs ($93.14 each) · EV $20.69 | Blister | 3 | $279.420.07× | $93.14 | $20.69 | 0.07× | — |

