Evolving Skies pull rates
Pack-opening counts, as listed Sep 15, 2026 · Sword & Shield · released Aug 27, 2021
Odds per pack
| Tier | Odds per pack | Avg per box (36)Average per booster box (36 packs) |
|---|---|---|
| Pokémon V 18 cards | 1 in 9 | 4.0 |
| VMAX 15 cards | 1 in 16.5 1 in 15–18 | 2.2 |
| Full Art V & Trainer 27 cards | 1 in 36.5 1 in 36–37 | 0.99 |
| Alternate Art V 11 cards | 1 in 96 1 in 91–101 | 0.38 |
| Gold Secret 12 cards | 1 in 105.5 1 in 102–109 | 0.34 |
| Hyper Rare 16 cards | 1 in 113 1 in 108–118 | 0.32 |
| Alternate Art VMAX 6 cards | 1 in 312 1 in 292–332 | 0.12 |
Tier names follow the source’s. Where it lists a range, the odds are the midpoint.
Chance of at least one
| Tier | ETB (8) | box (36) |
|---|---|---|
| Pokémon V | 61% | 99% |
| VMAX | 39% | 89% |
| Full Art V & Trainer | 20% | 63% |
| Alternate Art V | 8% | 31% |
| Gold Secret | 7.3% | 29% |
| Hyper Rare | 6.9% | 27% |
| Alternate Art VMAX | 2.5% | 11% |
The number beside each product is its pack count (ETB is the Elite Trainer Box; its Pokémon Center version holds 10). Each pack is treated as a separate draw at the listed rate. The counts do not say how hits are spread inside one box, so these are approximations.
Odds of one named card
| Tier | One named card | Even-chance packsPacks for an even chance |
|---|---|---|
| Pokémon V 18 cards | 1 in 162 | 112 |
| VMAX 15 cards | 1 in 248 | 172 |
| Full Art V & Trainer 27 cards | 1 in 986 | 684 |
| Alternate Art V 11 cards | 1 in 1,056 | 732 |
| Gold Secret 12 cards | 1 in 1,266 | 878 |
| Hyper Rare 16 cards | 1 in 1,808 | 1,253 |
| Alternate Art VMAX 6 cards | 1 in 1,872 | 1,298 |
The source gives one rate for a whole tier, so every card of a tier is taken as equally likely. “Packs for an even chance” is how many packs it takes before pulling that one card is as likely as not.
What the cards are worth
| Rarity | Average | Most valuable |
|---|---|---|
| Alternate Art VMAX 6 cards | $776.04 | Umbreon VMAX #215 $2,283 |
| Alternate Art V 11 cards | $209.40 | Dragonite V #192 $523.47 |
| Rare Rainbow 16 cards | $28.14 | Rayquaza VMAX #217 $110.84 |
| Rare Ultra 27 cards | $16.44 | Rayquaza V #193 $76.00 |
| Rare Holo VMAX 15 cards | $9.96 | Umbreon VMAX #95 $29.32 |
| Rare Secret 12 cards | $8.13 | Darkness Energy #236 $25.03 |
| Rare Holo V 18 cards | $2.25 | Umbreon V #94 $8.48 |
TCGplayer market prices for raw Near Mint copies, as of Sep 19, 2026. Rarity names here are the card database’s, which is why they can differ from the tier names above. It files an alternate-art card under its printed rarity (Rare Ultra, Rare Rainbow). This site keeps its own checked list of the cards in the tiers the source counts apart, so those tiers have rows of their own here. Commons, uncommons and regular rares are left out: the card list has every card.
Sealed products
| Product | Market price | Average pulls |
|---|---|---|
| Evolving Skies Booster Box 36 packs | $2,426 | $253.19 |
| Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [Flareon/Jolteon/Umbreon/Leafeon] 8 packs | $565.85 | $56.26 |
| Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [Glaceon/Vaporeon/Sylveon/Espeon] 8 packs | $506.78 | $56.26 |
| Evolving Skies Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Glaceon/Vaporeon/Sylveon/Espeon] (Exclusive) 10 packs | $1,089 | $70.33 |
| Evolving Skies Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Jolteon/Flareon/Umbreon/Leafeon] (Exclusive) 10 packs | $1,093 | $70.33 |
“Average pulls” is what the cards in the product are worth on average at TCGplayer market prices, before any selling fees: the listed odds the card database can match, times today’s card prices, plus a small capped value for the common, uncommon and rare slots. The alternate-art tiers above are counted at their own rates: the card database does not mark alternate arts, so the figure works from this site’s checked list of the set’s alternate-art cards. Box value board · how it is worked out
Reading these figures
- The rates come from the evolvault.com pull-rate calculator, which adds up TCGplayer pack-opening datasets and community counts. They are not official odds from The Pokémon Company, and a different sample would give somewhat different numbers. Sources and cross-checks.
- The rarest tiers rest on the fewest pulls, so their odds are the least certain on the page. Where the source lists a range it is shown beside the figure; a single figure is not a sign of a more exact count.
- Odds are averages over many packs. A single box, or ten, can land well above or below them.