Mega Evolution Elite Trainer Box [Mega Lucario]
From Mega Evolution · Mega Evolution
The cards inside are worth $25.05 on average at TCGplayer market prices, 21% of the price, before any selling fees. How that is worked out
![Mega Evolution Elite Trainer Box [Mega Lucario]](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/648394_400w.jpg)
Listings range $115.00 – $3,000, mid $139.72
- Product type
- Elite Trainer Box
- Packs
- 9 packs
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- Sep 26, 2025
Shop this product on eBay
TCGplayer market is $121.23. Anything listed under $106.68 is at least 12% below it before shipping.
Buy It Now · US sellers · English printing · Lowest price first
No matches on the first button means this search found nothing listed under that price right now. The second button shows every current price.
What these searches leave out
Proxies, lots, code cards and other-language printings are excluded, and results are Buy It Now from US sellers, sorted by price plus shipping. Listings under $60.00 are left out because at that price they are almost always a different item. “Recently sold” opens eBay’s own sold listings for the same search, auctions included: what copies sold for, on eBay’s site. This site records none of those prices. You can save either search on eBay to be emailed new matches.
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Check retail price and stock
The market price above is what resellers charge. If a store has this product it will usually cost less, so check before paying it. Each button opens that retailer’s own search for this product. This site does not track stock or restocks at any retailer; turn on the retailer’s own in-stock notification if its product page offers one.
Price history up to 180 days
What’s in the box
9 packs × 10 cards = 90 cards
The standard count for this kind of product. No source is cited for this product in particular.
Expected value of opening
0.21×computed Oct 30, 2026Well below break-even: the cards inside are worth about 21% of the $121.23 price on average at market prices. For specific cards, singles cost less.
- EV per pack
- $2.78
- 9 packs per elite trainer box
- EV gross
- $25.05
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- of which bulk
- $4.32
- the common and uncommon slots, at half their capped market price; not individually sellable
- EV net
- $15.62
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.13× price
- Break-even price
- $25.05
- the price at which gross EV equals what you paid, before any cost of selling
- Chase share
- 44%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret, a separate alternate-art tier)
- P(at least one hit)
- 85%
- any hit tier, in the whole elite trainer box: Illustration Rare or better, or a special tier such as ACE SPEC, shiny or gallery cards
- Hit rate per pack
- 19%
- Illustration Rare or better, or a special tier such as ACE SPEC, shiny or gallery cards
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Avg. per elite trainer box | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare1 in 101 packs · avg. 0.09 per elite trainer box · 10 cards, mean $69.90Top: Mega Lucario ex #179 · $163.12 | 10 | 1 in 101 packs | 0.09 | $69.90 | $0.69 | Mega Lucario ex #179 · $163.12 |
| Illustration Rare1 in 9 packs · avg. 1.0 per elite trainer box · 22 cards, mean $5.25Top: Bulbasaur #133 · $16.48 | 22 | 1 in 9 packs | 1.0 | $5.25 | $0.58 | Bulbasaur #133 · $16.48 |
| Ultra Rare1 in 12.5 packs · avg. 0.72 per elite trainer box · 22 cards, mean $4.20Top: Lillie's Determination #169 · $19.70 | 22 | 1 in 12.5 packs | 0.72 | $4.20 | $0.34 | Lillie's Determination #169 · $19.70 |
| Double Rare1 in 5 packs · avg. 1.8 per elite trainer box · 10 cards, mean $0.73Top: Mega Kangaskhan ex #104 · $1.57 | 10 | 1 in 5 packs | 1.8 | $0.73 | $0.14 | Mega Kangaskhan ex #104 · $1.57 |
| Mega Hyper Rare1 in 1260 packs · avg. under 0.01 per elite trainer box · 2 cards, mean $179.88Top: Mega Lucario ex #188 · $206.35 | 2 | 1 in 1260 packs | under 0.01 | $179.88 | $0.14 | Mega Lucario ex #188 · $206.35 |
| Guaranteed slotsevery pack: rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value | — | every pack | — | — | $0.88 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Active eBay deals
Save a deal alert (emails are not sending yet)No deals right now
Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $121.23), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline and its card, condition and variant match is rated at least 50% confident, more for deeper discounts (above 85% from 40% off, above 95% from 70% off). A card listing must also state Near Mint, because a card’s market price is a Near Mint price. Seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment. The eBay scan runs every 3 hours.
Guides for this product
- Is Mega Evolution worth opening? EV, pull rates and chase cardsHow Mega Evolution sealed products compare on price per pack and expected value, and what the cards in a box are worth against its price.
- How to spot resealed Pokémon booster boxes, ETBs and packsRed flags for resealed product in a listing, and what to check before you open it.
- How to buy Pokémon cards at MSRP in 2026Stores may still sell this at retail. What retail price is for each product type and where it is still charged.
- How we compute sealed EV (and why most boxes are negative EV)How the expected value on this page is calculated, and what it does and does not tell you.
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