Mega Evolution Booster Box Case
From Mega Evolution · Mega Evolution
The cards inside are worth $601.10 on average at TCGplayer market prices, 31% of the price, before any selling fees. How that is worked out
Listings range $1,880 – $2,500, mid $1,987
- Product type
- Case
- Packs
- 216 packs (6 booster boxes of 36)
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- Sep 26, 2025
Shop this product on eBay
TCGplayer market is $1,945. Anything listed under $1,712 is at least 12% below it before shipping.
Buy It Now · US sellers · English printing · Lowest price first
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What these searches leave out
Proxies, lots, code cards and other-language printings are excluded, and results are Buy It Now from US sellers, sorted by price plus shipping. Listings under $972.00 are left out because at that price they are almost always a different item. “Recently sold” opens eBay’s own sold listings for the same search, auctions included: what copies sold for, on eBay’s site. This site records none of those prices. You can save either search on eBay to be emailed new matches.
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Price history up to 180 days
What’s in the case
216 packs × 10 cards = 2,160 cards
6 booster boxes of 36 packs, each at the standard count for its type. The case size is the one distributors state for the sets named here, applied to every case of this kind: PHD Games, Perfect Order · PHD Games, Chaos Rising · PHD Games, Pitch Black
Expected value of opening
0.31×computed Oct 30, 2026Well below break-even: the cards inside are worth about 31% of the $1,945 price on average at market prices. For specific cards, singles cost less.
- EV per pack
- $2.78
- 216 packs per case
- EV gross
- $601.10
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- of which bulk
- $103.68
- the common and uncommon slots, at half their capped market price; not individually sellable
- EV net
- $374.95
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.19× price
- Break-even price
- $601.10
- the price at which gross EV equals what you paid, before any cost of selling
- Chase share
- 44%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret, a separate alternate-art tier)
- P(at least one hit)
- 100%
- any hit tier, in the whole case: Illustration Rare or better, or a special tier such as ACE SPEC, shiny or gallery cards
- Hit rate per pack
- 19%
- Illustration Rare or better, or a special tier such as ACE SPEC, shiny or gallery cards
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Avg. per case | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare1 in 101 packs · avg. 2.1 per case · 10 cards, mean $69.90Top: Mega Lucario ex #179 · $163.12 | 10 | 1 in 101 packs | 2.1 | $69.90 | $0.69 | Mega Lucario ex #179 · $163.12 |
| Illustration Rare1 in 9 packs · avg. 24 per case · 22 cards, mean $5.25Top: Bulbasaur #133 · $16.48 | 22 | 1 in 9 packs | 24 | $5.25 | $0.58 | Bulbasaur #133 · $16.48 |
| Ultra Rare1 in 12.5 packs · avg. 17 per case · 22 cards, mean $4.20Top: Lillie's Determination #169 · $19.70 | 22 | 1 in 12.5 packs | 17 | $4.20 | $0.34 | Lillie's Determination #169 · $19.70 |
| Double Rare1 in 5 packs · avg. 43 per case · 10 cards, mean $0.73Top: Mega Kangaskhan ex #104 · $1.57 | 10 | 1 in 5 packs | 43 | $0.73 | $0.14 | Mega Kangaskhan ex #104 · $1.57 |
| Mega Hyper Rare1 in 1260 packs · avg. 0.17 per case · 2 cards, mean $179.88Top: Mega Lucario ex #188 · $206.35 | 2 | 1 in 1260 packs | 0.17 | $179.88 | $0.14 | Mega Lucario ex #188 · $206.35 |
| Guaranteed slotsevery pack: rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value | — | every pack | — | — | $0.88 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Active eBay deals
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Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $1,945), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline and its card, condition and variant match is rated at least 50% confident, more for deeper discounts (above 85% from 40% off, above 95% from 70% off). A card listing must also state Near Mint, because a card’s market price is a Near Mint price. Seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment. The eBay scan runs every 3 hours.
Guides for this product
- Is Mega Evolution worth opening? EV, pull rates and chase cardsHow Mega Evolution sealed products compare on price per pack and expected value, and what the cards in a box are worth against its price.
- How to spot resealed Pokémon booster boxes, ETBs and packsRed flags for resealed product in a listing, and what to check before you open it.
- How we compute sealed EV (and why most boxes are negative EV)How the expected value on this page is calculated, and what it does and does not tell you.
- Opening packs vs buying singles: what a chase card costs each wayOpening this for one card? The average pack spend to pull a set's most valuable card, set against buying it as a single.
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