32/100
Pokémon TCG Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box Mimikyu English 2024 1 Box
$306.62incl. $6.62 shippingmarket $437.0830% below market
NMAuction · low confidencejustusyurr (0%)found confirmed listed
Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box
From Paldean Fates · Scarlet & Violet
The cards inside are worth $57.67 on average at TCGplayer market prices, 13% of the price, before any selling fees. How that is worked out
Listings range $432.99 – $800.00, mid $509.50 · market is 774% above retail
- Product type
- Elite Trainer Box
- Packs
- 9 packs
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- Jan 26, 2024
- Retail price
- $49.99 (suggested price reported by TCGplayer and ICv2; some chains charge more, checked Sep 18, 2026)
Shop this product on eBay
TCGplayer market is $437.08. Anything listed under $384.63 is at least 12% below it before shipping. Retail is about $49.99, so a store that has it at retail costs less than either marketplace.
Buy It Now · US sellers · English printing · Lowest price first
No matches on the first button means this search found nothing listed under that price right now. The second button shows every current price.
What these searches leave out
Proxies, lots, code cards and other-language printings are excluded, and results are Buy It Now from US sellers, sorted by price plus shipping. Listings under $218.00 are left out because at that price they are almost always a different item. “Recently sold” opens eBay’s own sold listings for the same search, auctions included: what copies sold for, on eBay’s site. This site records none of those prices. You can save either search on eBay to be emailed new matches.
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Price history up to 180 days
What’s in the box
9 packs × 10 cards = 90 cards
The standard count for this kind of product. No source is cited for this product in particular.
Expected value of opening
0.13×computed Oct 30, 2026Well below break-even: the cards inside are worth about 13% of the $437.08 price on average at market prices. For specific cards, singles cost less.
- EV per pack
- $6.41
- 9 packs per elite trainer box
- EV gross
- $57.67
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- of which bulk
- $3.42
- the common and uncommon slots, at half their capped market price; not individually sellable
- EV net
- $41.03
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.09× price
- Break-even price
- $57.67
- the price at which gross EV equals what you paid, before any cost of selling
- Chase share
- 57%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret, a separate alternate-art tier)
- P(at least one hit)
- 99%
- any hit tier, in the whole elite trainer box: Illustration Rare or better, or a special tier such as ACE SPEC, shiny or gallery cards
- Hit rate per pack
- 42%
- Illustration Rare or better, or a special tier such as ACE SPEC, shiny or gallery cards
- Pull rates
- Published, partly
- source: evolvault.com pull-rate calculator, which lists no rate for Double Rare, so an era average stands in there: about 3% of this pack’s EV. all pull-rate tiers
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Avg. per elite trainer box | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare1 in 62.5 packs · avg. 0.14 per elite trainer box · 8 cards, mean $166.86Top: Mew ex #232 · $843.07 | 8 | 1 in 62.5 packs | 0.14 | $166.86 | $2.67 | Mew ex #232 · $843.07 |
| Shiny Rare1 in 4 packs · avg. 2.3 per elite trainer box · 120 cards, mean $8.13Top: Pikachu #131 · $73.68 | 120 | 1 in 4 packs | 2.3 | $8.13 | $2.03 | Pikachu #131 · $73.68 |
| Shiny Ultra Rare1 in 12 packs · avg. 0.75 per elite trainer box · 12 cards, mean $5.29Top: Mew ex #216 · $34.01 | 12 | 1 in 12 packs | 0.75 | $5.29 | $0.44 | Mew ex #216 · $34.01 |
| Illustration Rare1 in 13 packs · avg. 0.69 per elite trainer box · 3 cards, mean $2.20Top: Pawmi #226 · $2.82 | 3 | 1 in 13 packs | 0.69 | $2.20 | $0.17 | Pawmi #226 · $2.82 |
| Double Rareera average1 in 6 packs · avg. 1.5 per elite trainer box · 10 cards, mean $0.98Top: Charizard ex #54 · $4.51 | 10 | 1 in 6 packs | 1.5 | $0.98 | $0.16 | Charizard ex #54 · $4.51 |
| Hyper Rare1 in 97.5 packs · avg. 0.09 per elite trainer box · 6 cards, mean $10.19Top: Miraidon ex #243 · $15.68 | 6 | 1 in 97.5 packs | 0.09 | $10.19 | $0.10 | Miraidon ex #243 · $15.68 |
| Ultra Rare1 in 14.5 packs · avg. 0.62 per elite trainer box · 5 cards, mean $0.79Top: Judge #228 · $0.99 | 5 | 1 in 14.5 packs | 0.62 | $0.79 | $0.05 | Judge #228 · $0.99 |
| Guaranteed slotsevery pack: rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value | — | every pack | — | — | $0.77 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Active eBay deals (2)
Save a deal alert (emails are not sending yet)Each listing is priced, shipping included, against the TCGplayer market for the matched card or product. A card’s market is a Near Mint price, so a card listing is scored only when it states Near Mint; played copies and listings that state no condition are not listed. Deal Score 0–100 measures how far below that market it lands, weighted by match confidence. Auctions are down-weighted because the price can still rise.
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- Landed price $306.62 = $300.00 item + $6.62 shipping
- Baseline: TCGplayer market $437.08 (Normal)
- Savings $130.46 (30% below) → Deal Score 32 at 54% confidence
- new seller
- seller feedback below 95%
- auction: price may rise before it ends
25/100
Pokémon TCG Scarlet & Violet—Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box English 2024
$365.71incl. $15.71 shippingmarket $437.0816% below market
NMBuy It Nowlow confidencebr-312899 (0%)found confirmed listed
- Landed price $365.71 = $350.00 item + $15.71 shipping
- Baseline: TCGplayer market $437.08 (Normal)
- Savings $71.37 (16% below) → Deal Score 25 at 54% confidence
- new seller
- seller feedback below 95%
Guides for this product
- Is Paldean Fates worth opening? EV, pull rates and shiny oddsHow Paldean Fates sealed products compare on price per pack and expected value, and what the cards in a box are worth against its price.
- How to spot resealed Pokémon booster boxes, ETBs and packsRed flags for resealed product in a listing, and what to check before you open it.
- How we compute sealed EV (and why most boxes are negative EV)How the expected value on this page is calculated, and what it does and does not tell you.
- Booster box vs Elite Trainer Box vs booster bundle: cost per packBooster box, Elite Trainer Box or bundle: what each costs per pack and who each one suits.
Other Paldean Fates sealed products
Compare this product side by side with Paldean Fates’s other products
| Product | Type | Packs | Market EV ratio | Per pack | EV (gross) | EV ratio | Deals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Paldean Fates Booster BundleBooster Bundle · 6 packs ($27.98 each) · EV $38.44 | Booster Bundle | 6 | $167.910.23× | $27.98 | $38.44 | 0.23× | — |
 Paldean Fates Booster Bundle DisplayBooster Bundle | Booster Bundle | — | $1,555 | — | — | n/a | — |
 Paldean Fates Booster PackBooster Pack · 1 pack · EV $6.41 | Booster Pack | 1 | $23.280.28× | $23.28 | $6.41 | 0.28× | — |
 Paldean Fates Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]Booster Pack · 4 packs ($24.05 each) · EV $25.63 | Booster Pack | 4 | $96.180.27× | $24.05 | $25.63 | 0.27× | — |
 Paldean Fates Booster Bundle Display CaseCase | Case | — | — | — | — | n/a | — |
 Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box CaseCase · 90 packs ($45.48 each) · EV $576.67 | Case | 90 | $4,0930.14× | $45.48 | $576.67 | 0.14× | — |
 Paldean Fates Great Tusk ex & Iron Treads ex Premium CollectionPremium Collection · 11 packs ($23.38 each) · EV $70.48 | Premium Collection | 11 | $257.200.27× | $23.38 | $70.48 | 0.27× | — |