Phantasmal Flames Sleeved Booster Pack – price, EV & deals
From Phantasmal Flames · Mega Evolution
$14.31TCGplayer market · updated 2h ago0.26×
Listings range $11.00 – $22.00, mid $15.00
- Product type
- Booster Pack
- Packs
- 1 pack
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- Nov 14, 2025
Price history last 180 days
Expected value of opening
0.26×computed Sep 15, 2026Well below break-even: opening returns only about 26% of the $14.31 price in raw card value. Hold sealed for appreciation or buy singles; do not open this expecting to recover the cost.
- EV per pack
- $3.79
- 1 packs per booster pack
- EV gross
- $3.79
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- EV net
- $2.73
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.19× price
- Break-even price
- $3.79
- pay less than this and opening beats buying singles on average
- Chase share
- 72%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret)
- P(at least one top hit)
- 20%
- in the whole booster pack
- Hit rate per pack
- 20%
- illustration rare or better
- Pull rates
- Published
- source: published
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare | 5 | 1 in 80 packs | $154.62 | $1.93 | Mega Charizard X ex #125 · $703.67 |
| Illustration Rare | 13 | 1 in 9 packs | $5.32 | $0.59 | Meowth #106 · $17.31 |
| Ultra Rare | 17 | 1 in 12 packs | $2.85 | $0.24 | Mega Charizard X ex #109 · $23.41 |
| Mega Hyper Rare | 1 | 1 in 1260 packs | $257.26 | $0.20 | Mega Charizard X ex #130 · $257.26 |
| Guaranteed slots | — | every pack | — | $0.82 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Model notes (1)
- no cards with rarity "MEGA_ATTACK_RARE" in set
Active eBay deals
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Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $14.31), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline with a confident card, condition and variant match — seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment; listings are re-checked every 15 minutes.
