Pullnomics

Phantasmal Flames pull rates

Pack-opening counts, as listed Sep 15, 2026 · Mega Evolution · released Nov 14, 2025

Odds per pack

TierOdds per packAvg per box (36)
Illustration Rare
13 cards
1 in 94.0
Ultra Rare
17 cards
1 in 123.0
Mega Attack Rare1 in 400.90
Special Illustration Rare
5 cards
1 in 800.45
Mega Hyper Rare
1 card
1 in 1,2600.03

Tier names follow the source’s.

Chance of at least one

Tierbundle (6)ETB (9)box (36)
Illustration Rare51%65%99%
Ultra Rare41%54%96%
Mega Attack Rare14%20%60%
Special Illustration Rare7.3%11%36%
Mega Hyper Rare0.5%0.7%2.8%

The number beside each product is its pack count (ETB is the Elite Trainer Box; its Pokémon Center version holds 11). Each pack is treated as a separate draw at the listed rate. The counts do not say how hits are spread inside one box, so these are approximations.

Odds of one named card

TierOne named cardEven-chance packs
Illustration Rare
13 cards
1 in 11781
Ultra Rare
17 cards
1 in 204142
Special Illustration Rare
5 cards
1 in 400277
Mega Hyper Rare
1 card
1 in 1,260874

The source gives one rate for a whole tier, so every card of a tier is taken as equally likely. “Packs for an even chance” is how many packs it takes before pulling that one card is as likely as not.

What the cards are worth

RarityAverageMost valuable
Mega Hyper Rare
1 card
$253.59Mega Charizard X ex #130 $253.59
Special Illustration Rare
5 cards
$152.26Mega Charizard X ex #125 $694.67
Illustration Rare
13 cards
$5.24Meowth #106 $17.50
Ultra Rare
17 cards
$2.66Mega Charizard X ex #109 $20.99
Double Rare
10 cards
$1.25Mega Charizard X ex #13 $5.03

TCGplayer market prices for raw Near Mint copies, as of Sep 19, 2026. Rarity names here are the card database’s, which is why they can differ from the tier names above. Commons, uncommons and regular rares are left out: the card list has every card.

Sealed products

ProductMarket priceAverage pulls
Phantasmal Flames Booster Box
36 packs
$398.17$129.61
Phantasmal Flames Elite Trainer Box
9 packs
$152.14$32.40
Phantasmal Flames Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive)
11 packs
$286.76$39.60
Phantasmal Flames Booster Bundle
6 packs
$87.68$21.60

“Average pulls” is what the cards in the product are worth on average at TCGplayer market prices, before any selling fees: the listed odds the card database can match, times today’s card prices, plus a small capped value for the common, uncommon and rare slots. Box value board · how it is worked out

Reading these figures

  • The rates come from the evolvault.com pull-rate calculator, which adds up TCGplayer pack-opening datasets and community counts. They are not official odds from The Pokémon Company, and a different sample would give somewhat different numbers. Sources and cross-checks.
  • The rarest tiers rest on the fewest pulls, so their odds are the least certain on the page.
  • Odds are averages over many packs. A single box, or ten, can land well above or below them.