Rebel Clash Premium Checklane Blister [Gengar] – price, EV & deals

From Rebel Clash · Sword & Shield

$77.16TCGplayer market · updated 2h ago0.03×

Listings range $139.00 – $150.00, mid $144.50

Product type: Blister
Packs: 1 pack
Cards per pack: 10
Released: May 1, 2020

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Price history last 180 days

Market$77.16One daily snapshot so far — the line fills in as TCGplayer market prices are captured each day (up to 180 days shown).

Expected value of opening

0.03×computed Sep 15, 2026

Well below break-even: opening returns only about 3% of the $77.16 price in raw card value. Hold sealed for appreciation or buy singles; do not open this expecting to recover the cost.

EV per pack: $2.09; 1 packs per blister
EV gross: $2.09; raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
EV net: $1.15; after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.01× price
Break-even price: $2.09; pay less than this and opening beats buying singles on average
Chase share: 25%; share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret)
P(at least one top hit): 5%; in the whole blister
Hit rate per pack: 5%; illustration rare or better
Pull rates: Era default; no set-specific counts yet; using swsh averages

Per-rarity contribution to EV per pack. Mean price is the average TCGplayer market of every card at that rarity in the set.
Rarity	Cards	Pull rate	Mean price	EV / pack	Top card
Rare Ultra	18	1 in 30 packs	$11.21	$0.37	Boss's Orders #189 · $61.03
Rare Holo V	16	1 in 8 packs	$1.52	$0.19	Ninetales V #26 · $5.37
Rare Rainbow	11	1 in 100 packs	$16.42	$0.16	Boss's Orders #200 · $44.48
Rare Holo VMAX	7	1 in 22 packs	$3.20	$0.15	Toxtricity VMAX #71 · $4.82
Rare Secret	6	1 in 100 packs	$7.44	$0.07	Frosmoth #204 · $14.41
Guaranteed slots	—	every pack	—	$1.14	rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value

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Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $77.16), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline with a confident card, condition and variant match — seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment; listings are re-checked every 15 minutes.

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Other Rebel Clash sealed products

Product	Type	Packs	Market	EV (gross)	EV ratio	Deals
Legends of Galar Tin [Set of 2]	Tin	5	—	$10.44	n/a	—
Legends of Galar Tin [Set of 2] (International Version)	Tin	5	—	$10.44	n/a	—
Legends of Galar Tin [Zacian V]	Tin	5	$63.15	$10.44	0.17×	—
Legends of Galar Tin [Zacian V] (International Version)	Tin	5	—	$10.44	n/a	—
Copperajah V Box	Collection Box	—	$102.95	—	n/a	—