Scarlet & Violet Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) [Miraidon] – price, EV & deals

From Scarlet & Violet · Scarlet & Violet

$317.06TCGplayer market · updated 2h ago0.09×

Listings range $308.23 – $750.00, mid $330.00

Product type: Elite Trainer Box
Packs: 9 packs
Cards per pack: 10
Released: Mar 31, 2023

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Price history last 180 days

Market$317.06One daily snapshot so far — the line fills in as TCGplayer market prices are captured each day (up to 180 days shown).

Expected value of opening

0.09×computed Sep 15, 2026

Well below break-even: opening returns only about 9% of the $317.06 price in raw card value. Hold sealed for appreciation or buy singles; do not open this expecting to recover the cost.

EV per pack: $3.27; 9 packs per elite trainer box
EV gross: $29.43; raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
EV net: $19.77; after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.06× price
Break-even price: $29.43; pay less than this and opening beats buying singles on average
Chase share: 28%; share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret)
P(at least one top hit): 83%; in the whole elite trainer box
Hit rate per pack: 18%; illustration rare or better
Pull rates: Published; source: published

Per-rarity contribution to EV per pack. Mean price is the average TCGplayer market of every card at that rarity in the set.
Rarity	Cards	Pull rate	Mean price	EV / pack	Top card
Illustration Rare	24	1 in 13 packs	$18.58	$1.43	Drowzee #210 · $61.85
Special Illustration Rare	10	1 in 32 packs	$18.60	$0.58	Gardevoir ex #245 · $71.20
Ultra Rare	20	1 in 15 packs	$3.30	$0.22	Arcanine ex #224 · $14.47
Double Rare	12	1 in 7 packs	$0.89	$0.13	Gyarados ex #45 · $1.87
Hyper Rare	6	1 in 53 packs	$5.23	$0.10	Miraidon ex #253 · $7.41
Guaranteed slots	—	every pack	—	$0.81	rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value

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Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $317.06), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline with a confident card, condition and variant match — seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment; listings are re-checked every 15 minutes.

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Scarlet & Violet 3 Pack Blister [Set of 2]	Blister	3	$59.22	$9.81	0.17×	—