Shining Fates Mini Tin [Zarude]
From Shining Fates · Sword & Shield
The cards inside are worth $6.47 on average at TCGplayer market prices, 22% of the price, before any selling fees. How that is worked out
![Shining Fates Mini Tin [Zarude]](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/230957_400w.jpg)
Listings range $36.90 – $44.99, mid $42.20
- Product type
- Tin
- Packs
- 2 packs
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- Mar 19, 2021
Shop this product on eBay
TCGplayer market is $29.76. Anything listed under $26.18 is at least 12% below it before shipping.
Buy It Now · US sellers · English printing · Lowest price first
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What these searches leave out
Proxies, lots, code cards and other-language printings are excluded, and results are Buy It Now from US sellers, sorted by price plus shipping. Listings under $14.00 are left out because at that price they are almost always a different item. “Recently sold” opens eBay’s own sold listings for the same search, auctions included: what copies sold for, on eBay’s site. This site records none of those prices. You can save either search on eBay to be emailed new matches.
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Price history up to 180 days
What’s in the tin
2 packs × 10 cards = 20 cards
Both packs are Shining Fates packs. Source: Bulbapedia
Expected value of opening
0.22×computed Oct 31, 2026Well below break-even: the cards inside are worth about 22% of the $29.76 price on average at market prices. For specific cards, singles cost less.
- EV per pack
- $3.24
- 2 packs per tin
- EV gross
- $6.47
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- of which bulk
- $0.86
- the common and uncommon slots, at half their capped market price; not individually sellable
- EV net
- $3.74
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.13× price
- Break-even price
- $6.47
- the price at which gross EV equals what you paid, before any cost of selling
- Chase share
- 4%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret, a separate alternate-art tier)
- P(at least one hit)
- 63%
- any hit tier, in the whole tin: Illustration Rare or better, or a special tier such as ACE SPEC, shiny or gallery cards
- Hit rate per pack
- 39%
- Illustration Rare or better, or a special tier such as ACE SPEC, shiny or gallery cards
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Avg. per tin | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shiny Vault1 in 4 packs · avg. 0.50 per tin · 104 cards, mean $4.29Top: Morpeko #SV044 · $22.90 | 104 | 1 in 4 packs | 0.50 | $4.29 | $1.07 | Morpeko #SV044 · $22.90 |
| Shiny Vault VMAX1 in 39 packs · avg. 0.05 per tin · 7 cards, mean $21.07Top: Charizard VMAX #SV107 · $109.56 | 7 | 1 in 39 packs | 0.05 | $21.07 | $0.54 | Charizard VMAX #SV107 · $109.56 |
| Shiny Vault V1 in 14 packs · avg. 0.14 per tin · 9 cards, mean $2.58Top: Ditto V #SV118 · $8.59 | 9 | 1 in 14 packs | 0.14 | $2.58 | $0.18 | Ditto V #SV118 · $8.59 |
| Amazing Rare1 in 19 packs · avg. 0.11 per tin · 3 cards, mean $2.92Top: Kyogre #21 · $4.35 | 3 | 1 in 19 packs | 0.11 | $2.92 | $0.15 | Kyogre #21 · $4.35 |
| Rare Holo VMAX1 in 19 packs · avg. 0.11 per tin · 6 cards, mean $2.50Top: Ditto VMAX #51 · $5.33 | 6 | 1 in 19 packs | 0.11 | $2.50 | $0.13 | Ditto VMAX #51 · $5.33 |
| Rare Ultra1 in 32 packs · avg. 0.06 per tin · 9 cards, mean $3.76Top: Poké Kid #70 · $9.32 | 9 | 1 in 32 packs | 0.06 | $3.76 | $0.12 | Poké Kid #70 · $9.32 |
| Rare Holo V1 in 9 packs · avg. 0.22 per tin · 8 cards, mean $0.87Top: Ditto V #50 · $1.79 | 8 | 1 in 9 packs | 0.22 | $0.87 | $0.10 | Ditto V #50 · $1.79 |
| Rare Rainbow1 in 91 packs · avg. 0.02 per tin · 1 card, mean $3.93Top: Alcremie VMAX #73 · $3.93 | 1 | 1 in 91 packs | 0.02 | $3.93 | $0.04 | Alcremie VMAX #73 · $3.93 |
| Shiny Vault Gold1 in 156 packs · avg. 0.01 per tin · 2 cards, mean $6.56Top: Eternatus V #SV121 · $6.57 | 2 | 1 in 156 packs | 0.01 | $6.56 | $0.04 | Eternatus V #SV121 · $6.57 |
| Guaranteed slotsevery pack: rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value | — | every pack | — | — | $0.85 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Model notes (2)
- no cards with rarity "Shiny Rare" in set
- no cards with rarity "Rare Secret" in set
Active eBay deals
Save a deal alert (emails are not sending yet)No deals right now
Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $29.76), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline and its card, condition and variant match is rated at least 50% confident, more for deeper discounts (above 85% from 40% off, above 95% from 70% off). A card listing must also state Near Mint, because a card’s market price is a Near Mint price. Seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment. The eBay scan runs every 3 hours.
Guides for this product
- Is Shining Fates worth opening? ETB EV and shiny Charizard oddsHow Shining Fates sealed products compare on price per pack and expected value, and what the cards in a box are worth against its price.
- How to spot resealed Pokémon booster boxes, ETBs and packsRed flags for resealed product in a listing, and what to check before you open it.
- How we compute sealed EV (and why most boxes are negative EV)How the expected value on this page is calculated, and what it does and does not tell you.
- Opening packs vs buying singles: what a chase card costs each wayOpening this for one card? The average pack spend to pull a set's most valuable card, set against buying it as a single.
Other Shining Fates sealed products
| Product | Type | Packs | Market EV ratio | Per pack | EV (gross) | EV ratio | Deals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shining Fates Booster PackBooster Pack · 1 pack · EV $3.24 | Booster Pack | 1 | $18.120.18× | $18.12 | $3.24 | 0.18× | — |
 Shining Fates Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]Booster Pack · 4 packs ($14.99 each) · EV $12.94 | Booster Pack | 4 | $59.970.22× | $14.99 | $12.94 | 0.22× | — |
 Shining Fates Collection [Pikachu V]Collection Box | Collection Box | — | $68.94 | — | — | n/a | — |
 Shining Fates Collection [Shiny Boltund V]Collection Box | Collection Box | — | $71.22 | — | — | n/a | — |
 Shining Fates Collection [Shiny Cramorant V]Collection Box | Collection Box | — | $70.37 | — | — | n/a | — |