42/100
Black Bolt Elite Trainer Box Pokemon Scarlet & Violet Sealed
$120.00free shippingmarket $155.1523% below market
NMBuy It Nowhigh confidenceflexyservicesllc (95.7%)found confirmed listed
Black Bolt Elite Trainer Box
From Black Bolt · Scarlet & Violet
Roughly, the cards inside are worth $32.64 on average at TCGplayer market prices, 21% of the price, before any selling fees (estimated pull rates). How that is worked out
Listings range $151.99 – $555.00, mid $170.00 · market is 210% above retail
- Product type
- Elite Trainer Box
- Packs
- 9 packs
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- Jul 18, 2025
- Retail price
- $49.99 (suggested price reported by TCGplayer and ICv2; some chains charge more, checked Sep 18, 2026)
Shop this product on eBay
TCGplayer market is $155.15. Anything listed under $136.53 is at least 12% below it before shipping. Retail is about $49.99, so a store that has it at retail costs less than either marketplace.
Buy It Now · US sellers · English printing · Lowest price first
No matches on the first button means this search found nothing listed under that price right now. The second button shows every current price.
What these searches leave out
Proxies, lots, code cards and other-language printings are excluded, and results are Buy It Now from US sellers, sorted by price plus shipping. Listings under $77.00 are left out because at that price they are almost always a different item. “Recently sold” opens eBay’s own sold listings for the same search, auctions included: what copies sold for, on eBay’s site. This site records none of those prices. You can save either search on eBay to be emailed new matches.
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Check retail price and stock
The market price above is what resellers charge. If a store has this product it will usually cost less, so check before paying it. Each button opens that retailer’s own search for this product. This site does not track stock or restocks at any retailer; turn on the retailer’s own in-stock notification if its product page offers one.
Price history up to 180 days
What’s in the box
9 packs × 10 cards = 90 cards
The standard count for this kind of product. No source is cited for this product in particular.
Expected value of opening
0.21×computed Oct 30, 2026Well below break-even: the cards inside are worth about 21% of the $155.15 price on average at market prices. For specific cards, singles cost less.
- EV per pack
- $3.63
- 9 packs per elite trainer box
- EV gross
- $32.64
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- of which bulk
- $4.59
- the common and uncommon slots, at half their capped market price; not individually sellable
- EV net
- $22.76
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.15× price
- Break-even price
- $32.64
- the price at which gross EV equals what you paid, before any cost of selling
- Chase share
- 32%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret, a separate alternate-art tier)
- P(at least one hit)
- 77%
- any hit tier, in the whole elite trainer box: Illustration Rare or better, or a special tier such as ACE SPEC, shiny or gallery cards
- Hit rate per pack
- 15%
- Illustration Rare or better, or a special tier such as ACE SPEC, shiny or gallery cards
- Pull rates
- Era default
- no set-specific counts yet; using sv averages
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Avg. per elite trainer box | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare1 in 12.5 packs · avg. 0.72 per elite trainer box · 69 cards, mean $20.29Top: Seismitoad #105 · $196.27 | 69 | 1 in 12.5 packs | 0.72 | $20.29 | $1.62 | Seismitoad #105 · $196.27 |
| Special Illustration Rare1 in 80 packs · avg. 0.11 per elite trainer box · 7 cards, mean $70.02Top: Zekrom ex #166 · $236.09 | 7 | 1 in 80 packs | 0.11 | $70.02 | $0.88 | Zekrom ex #166 · $236.09 |
| Ultra Rare1 in 15 packs · avg. 0.60 per elite trainer box · 8 cards, mean $2.09Top: Zekrom ex #158 · $5.23 | 8 | 1 in 15 packs | 0.60 | $2.09 | $0.14 | Zekrom ex #158 · $5.23 |
| Double Rare1 in 6 packs · avg. 1.5 per elite trainer box · 6 cards, mean $0.62Top: Genesect ex #67 · $0.87 | 6 | 1 in 6 packs | 1.5 | $0.62 | $0.10 | Genesect ex #67 · $0.87 |
| Guaranteed slotsevery pack: rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value | — | every pack | — | — | $0.89 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Model notes (1)
- Victini #171 is filed as Rare at $615.61, too dear to be a bulk card: left out of the baseline and counted nowhere
Active eBay deals (1)
Save a deal alert (emails are not sending yet)Each listing is priced, shipping included, against the TCGplayer market for the matched card or product. A card’s market is a Near Mint price, so a card listing is scored only when it states Near Mint; played copies and listings that state no condition are not listed. Deal Score 0–100 measures how far below that market it lands, weighted by match confidence. Auctions are down-weighted because the price can still rise.
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- Landed price $120.00 = $120.00 item + $0.00 shipping
- Baseline: TCGplayer market $155.15 (Normal)
- Savings $35.15 (23% below) → Deal Score 42 at 85% confidence
Guides for this product
- Is Black Bolt worth opening? EV, pull rates and chase cardsHow Black Bolt sealed products compare on price per pack and expected value, and what the cards in a box are worth against its price.
- How to spot resealed Pokémon booster boxes, ETBs and packsRed flags for resealed product in a listing, and what to check before you open it.
- How to buy Pokémon cards at MSRP in 2026Stores may still sell this at retail. What retail price is for each product type and where it is still charged.
- How we compute sealed EV (and why most boxes are negative EV)How the expected value on this page is calculated, and what it does and does not tell you.
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