Black Bolt Elite Trainer Box Case – price, EV & deals
From Black Bolt · Scarlet & Violet
$1,822TCGplayer market · updated 2h ago4.50×
Listings range $1,980 – $10,000, mid $2,150
- Product type
- Case
- Packs
- 90 packs
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- Jul 18, 2025
Price history last 180 days
Expected value of opening
4.50×computed Sep 15, 2026Above break-even: opening returns about $8,204 in raw card value against a $1,822 market price, so on average the pulls are worth more than the product. Variance is still high — the average is pulled up by rare chase hits most boxes will not contain.
- EV per pack
- $91.15
- 90 packs per case
- EV gross
- $8,204
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- EV net
- $4,179
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 2.29× price
- Break-even price
- $8,204
- pay less than this and opening beats buying singles on average
- Chase share
- 32%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret)
- P(at least one top hit)
- 100%
- in the whole case
- Hit rate per pack
- 15%
- illustration rare or better
- Pull rates
- Era default
- no set-specific counts yet; using sv averages
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare | 69 | 1 in 12.5 packs | $23.68 | $1.89 | Seismitoad #105 · $222.16 |
| Special Illustration Rare | 7 | 1 in 80 packs | $82.45 | $1.03 | Zekrom ex #166 · $282.80 |
| Ultra Rare | 8 | 1 in 15 packs | $2.05 | $0.14 | N's Plan #163 · $4.36 |
| Double Rare | 6 | 1 in 6 packs | $0.73 | $0.12 | Genesect ex #67 · $0.98 |
| Guaranteed slots | — | every pack | — | $87.97 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Active eBay deals
Email me when a new deal appearsNo deals right now
Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $1,822), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline with a confident card, condition and variant match — seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment; listings are re-checked every 15 minutes.
Other Black Bolt sealed products
| Product | Type | Packs | Market | EV (gross) | EV ratio | Deals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Black Bolt Elite Trainer Box | Elite Trainer Box | 9 | $171.39 | $820.37 | 4.79× | — |
 Black Bolt Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) | Elite Trainer Box | 9 | $275.76 | $820.37 | 2.97× | — |
 Black Bolt Booster Bundle | Booster Bundle | 6 | $99.74 | $546.91 | 5.48× | — |
 Black Bolt Booster Bundle Display | Booster Bundle | 6 | $1,765 | $546.91 | 0.31× | — |
 Black Bolt Booster Pack | Booster Pack | 1 | $14.66 | $91.15 | 6.22× | — |
 Black Bolt Binder Collection Case | Case | — | $360.50 | — | n/a | — |
 Black Bolt Booster Bundle Case | Case | 60 | $2,515 | $5,469 | 2.17× | — |
 Black Bolt Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) Case | Case | — | — | — | n/a | — |
 Unova Mini Tin [Alomomola & Axew] | Tin | 2 | $25.55 | $182.30 | 7.14× | — |
 Unova Heavy Hitters Premium Collection | Premium Collection | 6 | $188.38 | $546.91 | 2.90× | — |
 Black Bolt Binder & Unova Poster Collection (Sam's Club) | Collection Box | — | $125.47 | — | n/a | — |
 Black Bolt Binder Collection | Collection Box | — | $80.10 | — | n/a | — |
 Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | Collection Box | — | $50.39 | — | n/a | — |