Chaos Rising Booster Box – price, EV & deals
From Chaos Rising · Mega Evolution
$197.45TCGplayer market · updated 48m ago0.39×
Listings range $185.00 – $1,999, mid $243.50
- Product type
- Booster Box
- Packs
- 36 packs
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- May 22, 2026
Price history last 180 days
Expected value of opening
0.39×computed Sep 15, 2026Well below break-even: opening returns only about 39% of the $197.45 price in raw card value. Hold sealed for appreciation or buy singles; do not open this expecting to recover the cost.
- EV per pack
- $2.12
- 36 packs per booster box
- EV gross
- $76.27
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- EV net
- $46.05
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.23× price
- Break-even price
- $76.27
- pay less than this and opening beats buying singles on average
- Chase share
- 55%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret)
- P(at least one top hit)
- 100%
- in the whole booster box
- Hit rate per pack
- 17%
- illustration rare or better
- Pull rates
- Published
- source: published
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare | 6 | 1 in 82.5 packs | $52.89 | $0.64 | Mega Greninja ex #116 · $165.08 |
| Illustration Rare | 11 | 1 in 9.5 packs | $3.40 | $0.36 | Froakie #88 · $5.86 |
| Ultra Rare | 18 | 1 in 16.5 packs | $2.83 | $0.17 | Mega Greninja ex #100 · $9.21 |
| Mega Hyper Rare | 1 | 1 in 975 packs | $157.92 | $0.16 | Mega Greninja ex #122 · $157.92 |
| Double Rare | 10 | 1 in 4.5 packs | $0.61 | $0.13 | Mega Greninja ex #22 · $0.90 |
| Guaranteed slots | — | every pack | — | $0.65 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Active eBay deals
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Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $197.45), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline with a confident card, condition and variant match — seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment; listings are re-checked every 15 minutes.
