![Mega Evolution Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) [Mega Lucario]](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/644282_400w.jpg)
Mega Evolution Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) [Mega Lucario] – price, EV & deals
From Mega Evolution · Mega Evolution
$218.52TCGplayer market · updated 2h ago0.12×
Listings range $199.49 – $1,999, mid $254.18
- Product type
- Elite Trainer Box
- Packs
- 9 packs
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- Sep 26, 2025
Price history last 180 days
Expected value of opening
0.12×computed Sep 15, 2026Well below break-even: opening returns only about 12% of the $218.52 price in raw card value. Hold sealed for appreciation or buy singles; do not open this expecting to recover the cost.
- EV per pack
- $3.01
- 9 packs per elite trainer box
- EV gross
- $27.06
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- EV net
- $17.61
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.08× price
- Break-even price
- $27.06
- pay less than this and opening beats buying singles on average
- Chase share
- 44%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret)
- P(at least one top hit)
- 85%
- in the whole elite trainer box
- Hit rate per pack
- 19%
- illustration rare or better
- Pull rates
- Published
- source: published
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare | 10 | 1 in 101 packs | $83.50 | $0.83 | Mega Lucario ex #179 · $183.14 |
| Illustration Rare | 22 | 1 in 9 packs | $6.41 | $0.71 | Vulpix #138 · $20.35 |
| Ultra Rare | 22 | 1 in 12.5 packs | $4.76 | $0.38 | Lillie's Determination #169 · $21.87 |
| Mega Hyper Rare | 2 | 1 in 1260 packs | $221.50 | $0.18 | Mega Lucario ex #188 · $247.88 |
| Double Rare | 10 | 1 in 5 packs | $0.84 | $0.17 | Mega Kangaskhan ex #104 · $1.16 |
| Guaranteed slots | — | every pack | — | $0.74 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Active eBay deals
Email me when a new deal appearsNo deals right now
Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $218.52), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline with a confident card, condition and variant match — seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment; listings are re-checked every 15 minutes.
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