Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Set of 5]
From Paldean Fates · Scarlet & Violet
The cards inside are worth $64.07 on average at TCGplayer market prices, 25% of the price, before any selling fees. How that is worked out
![Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Set of 5]](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/529039_400w.jpg)
Listings range $250.90 – $208,620, mid $256.25
- Product type
- Tin
- Packs
- 10 packs
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- Feb 9, 2024
Shop this product on eBay
TCGplayer market is $260.70. Anything listed under $229.41 is at least 12% below it before shipping.
Buy It Now · US sellers · English printing · Lowest price first
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What these searches leave out
Proxies, lots, code cards and other-language printings are excluded, and results are Buy It Now from US sellers, sorted by price plus shipping. Listings under $130.00 are left out because at that price they are almost always a different item. “Recently sold” opens eBay’s own sold listings for the same search, auctions included: what copies sold for, on eBay’s site. This site records none of those prices. You can save either search on eBay to be emailed new matches.
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Price history up to 180 days
What’s in the tin
10 packs × 10 cards = 100 cards
All 10 packs are Paldean Fates packs: 5 of the single product, 2 packs each. Source: Bulbapedia
Expected value of opening
0.25×computed Oct 30, 2026Well below break-even: the cards inside are worth about 25% of the $260.70 price on average at market prices. For specific cards, singles cost less.
- EV per pack
- $6.41
- 10 packs per product
- EV gross
- $64.07
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- of which bulk
- $3.80
- the common and uncommon slots, at half their capped market price; not individually sellable
- EV net
- $45.59
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.17× price
- Break-even price
- $64.07
- the price at which gross EV equals what you paid, before any cost of selling
- Chase share
- 57%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret, a separate alternate-art tier)
- P(at least one hit)
- 100%
- any hit tier, in the whole product: Illustration Rare or better, or a special tier such as ACE SPEC, shiny or gallery cards
- Hit rate per pack
- 42%
- Illustration Rare or better, or a special tier such as ACE SPEC, shiny or gallery cards
- Pull rates
- Published, partly
- source: evolvault.com pull-rate calculator, which lists no rate for Double Rare, so an era average stands in there: about 3% of this pack’s EV. all pull-rate tiers
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Avg. per product | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare1 in 62.5 packs · avg. 0.16 per product · 8 cards, mean $166.86Top: Mew ex #232 · $843.07 | 8 | 1 in 62.5 packs | 0.16 | $166.86 | $2.67 | Mew ex #232 · $843.07 |
| Shiny Rare1 in 4 packs · avg. 2.5 per product · 120 cards, mean $8.13Top: Pikachu #131 · $73.68 | 120 | 1 in 4 packs | 2.5 | $8.13 | $2.03 | Pikachu #131 · $73.68 |
| Shiny Ultra Rare1 in 12 packs · avg. 0.83 per product · 12 cards, mean $5.29Top: Mew ex #216 · $34.01 | 12 | 1 in 12 packs | 0.83 | $5.29 | $0.44 | Mew ex #216 · $34.01 |
| Illustration Rare1 in 13 packs · avg. 0.77 per product · 3 cards, mean $2.20Top: Pawmi #226 · $2.82 | 3 | 1 in 13 packs | 0.77 | $2.20 | $0.17 | Pawmi #226 · $2.82 |
| Double Rareera average1 in 6 packs · avg. 1.7 per product · 10 cards, mean $0.98Top: Charizard ex #54 · $4.51 | 10 | 1 in 6 packs | 1.7 | $0.98 | $0.16 | Charizard ex #54 · $4.51 |
| Hyper Rare1 in 97.5 packs · avg. 0.10 per product · 6 cards, mean $10.19Top: Miraidon ex #243 · $15.68 | 6 | 1 in 97.5 packs | 0.10 | $10.19 | $0.10 | Miraidon ex #243 · $15.68 |
| Ultra Rare1 in 14.5 packs · avg. 0.69 per product · 5 cards, mean $0.79Top: Judge #228 · $0.99 | 5 | 1 in 14.5 packs | 0.69 | $0.79 | $0.05 | Judge #228 · $0.99 |
| Guaranteed slotsevery pack: rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value | — | every pack | — | — | $0.77 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Active eBay deals
Save a deal alert (emails are not sending yet)No deals right now
Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $260.70), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline and its card, condition and variant match is rated at least 50% confident, more for deeper discounts (above 85% from 40% off, above 95% from 70% off). A card listing must also state Near Mint, because a card’s market price is a Near Mint price. Seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment. The eBay scan runs every 3 hours.
Guides for this product
- Is Paldean Fates worth opening? EV, pull rates and shiny oddsHow Paldean Fates sealed products compare on price per pack and expected value, and what the cards in a box are worth against its price.
- How to spot resealed Pokémon booster boxes, ETBs and packsRed flags for resealed product in a listing, and what to check before you open it.
- How we compute sealed EV (and why most boxes are negative EV)How the expected value on this page is calculated, and what it does and does not tell you.
- Opening packs vs buying singles: what a chase card costs each wayOpening this for one card? The average pack spend to pull a set's most valuable card, set against buying it as a single.
Other Paldean Fates sealed products
Compare this product side by side with Paldean Fates’s other products
| Product | Type | Packs | Market EV ratio | Per pack | EV (gross) | EV ratio | Deals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Paldean Fates Elite Trainer BoxElite Trainer Box · 9 packs ($48.56 each) · EV $57.67 | Elite Trainer Box | 9 | $437.080.13× | $48.56 | $57.67 | 0.13× | 2 deals |
 Paldean Fates Booster BundleBooster Bundle · 6 packs ($27.98 each) · EV $38.44 | Booster Bundle | 6 | $167.910.23× | $27.98 | $38.44 | 0.23× | — |
 Paldean Fates Booster Bundle DisplayBooster Bundle | Booster Bundle | — | $1,555 | — | — | n/a | — |
 Paldean Fates Booster PackBooster Pack · 1 pack · EV $6.41 | Booster Pack | 1 | $23.280.28× | $23.28 | $6.41 | 0.28× | — |
 Paldean Fates Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]Booster Pack · 4 packs ($24.05 each) · EV $25.63 | Booster Pack | 4 | $96.180.27× | $24.05 | $25.63 | 0.27× | — |
 Paldean Fates Booster Bundle Display CaseCase | Case | — | — | — | — | n/a | — |
 Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box CaseCase · 90 packs ($45.48 each) · EV $576.67 | Case | 90 | $4,0930.14× | $45.48 | $576.67 | 0.14× | — |