Paradox Rift Booster Box Case – price, EV & deals
From Paradox Rift · Scarlet & Violet
$1,845TCGplayer market · updated 48m ago0.40×
Listings range $1,641 – $4,900, mid $1,800
- Product type
- Case
- Packs
- 216 packs
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- Nov 3, 2023
Price history last 180 days
Expected value of opening
0.40×computed Sep 15, 2026Well below break-even: opening returns only about 40% of the $1,845 price in raw card value. Hold sealed for appreciation or buy singles; do not open this expecting to recover the cost.
- EV per pack
- $3.44
- 216 packs per case
- EV gross
- $742.89
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- EV net
- $501.94
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.27× price
- Break-even price
- $742.89
- pay less than this and opening beats buying singles on average
- Chase share
- 18%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret)
- P(at least one top hit)
- 100%
- in the whole case
- Hit rate per pack
- 17%
- illustration rare or better
- Pull rates
- Published
- source: published
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare | 34 | 1 in 12.5 packs | $22.00 | $1.76 | Groudon #199 · $120.34 |
| Special Illustration Rare | 15 | 1 in 49.5 packs | $20.03 | $0.40 | Altaria ex #253 · $52.98 |
| Ultra Rare | 28 | 1 in 14 packs | $3.32 | $0.24 | Maushold ex #233 · $17.73 |
| Double Rare | 20 | 1 in 6.5 packs | $1.01 | $0.16 | Mewtwo ex #58 · $3.44 |
| Hyper Rare | 7 | 1 in 81.5 packs | $5.82 | $0.07 | Garchomp ex #260 · $17.99 |
| Guaranteed slots | — | every pack | — | $0.81 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Active eBay deals
Email me when a new deal appearsNo deals right now
Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $1,845), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline with a confident card, condition and variant match — seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment; listings are re-checked every 15 minutes.
Other Paradox Rift sealed products
| Product | Type | Packs | Market | EV (gross) | EV ratio | Deals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Paradox Rift Booster Box | Booster Box | 36 | $279.01 | $123.82 | 0.44× | — |
 Paradox Rift Booster Bundle | Booster Bundle | 6 | $88.57 | $20.64 | 0.23× | — |
 Paradox Rift Booster Pack | Booster Pack | 1 | $8.41 | $3.44 | 0.41× | — |
 Paradox Rift Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] | Booster Pack | 4 | $40.56 | $13.76 | 0.34× | — |
 Paradox Rift Build & Battle Box | Build & Battle | 4 | $42.91 | $13.76 | 0.32× | — |
 Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister [Arctibax] | Blister | 3 | $31.00 | $10.32 | 0.33× | — |
 Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister [Cetitan] | Blister | 3 | $29.61 | $10.32 | 0.35× | — |
 Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister [Set of 2] | Blister | 3 | $54.31 | $10.32 | 0.19× | — |