Paradox Rift Elite Trainer Box [Iron Valiant] – price, EV & deals

From Paradox Rift · Scarlet & Violet

$134.70TCGplayer market · updated 2h ago0.23×

Listings range $137.00 – $2,000, mid $150.02

Product type: Elite Trainer Box
Packs: 9 packs
Cards per pack: 10
Released: Nov 3, 2023

Alert me when this product is a deal Open or Hold board

Price history last 180 days

Market$134.82One daily snapshot so far — the line fills in as TCGplayer market prices are captured each day (up to 180 days shown).

Expected value of opening

0.23×computed Sep 15, 2026

Well below break-even: opening returns only about 23% of the $134.70 price in raw card value. Hold sealed for appreciation or buy singles; do not open this expecting to recover the cost.

EV per pack: $3.44; 9 packs per elite trainer box
EV gross: $30.95; raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
EV net: $20.91; after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.16× price
Break-even price: $30.95; pay less than this and opening beats buying singles on average
Chase share: 18%; share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret)
P(at least one top hit): 82%; in the whole elite trainer box
Hit rate per pack: 17%; illustration rare or better
Pull rates: Published; source: published

Per-rarity contribution to EV per pack. Mean price is the average TCGplayer market of every card at that rarity in the set.
Rarity	Cards	Pull rate	Mean price	EV / pack	Top card
Illustration Rare	34	1 in 12.5 packs	$22.00	$1.76	Groudon #199 · $120.34
Special Illustration Rare	15	1 in 49.5 packs	$20.03	$0.40	Altaria ex #253 · $52.98
Ultra Rare	28	1 in 14 packs	$3.32	$0.24	Maushold ex #233 · $17.73
Double Rare	20	1 in 6.5 packs	$1.01	$0.16	Mewtwo ex #58 · $3.44
Hyper Rare	7	1 in 81.5 packs	$5.82	$0.07	Garchomp ex #260 · $17.99
Guaranteed slots	—	every pack	—	$0.81	rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value

Active eBay deals

Email me when a new deal appears

No deals right now

Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $134.70), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline with a confident card, condition and variant match — seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment; listings are re-checked every 15 minutes.

Set a free deal alert Browse all current deals

Other Paradox Rift sealed products

Product	Type	Packs	Market	EV (gross)	EV ratio	Deals
Paradox Rift Booster Box	Booster Box	36	$279.01	$123.82	0.44×	—
Paradox Rift Booster Bundle	Booster Bundle	6	$88.57	$20.64	0.23×	—
Paradox Rift Booster Pack	Booster Pack	1	$8.41	$3.44	0.41×	—
Paradox Rift Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]	Booster Pack	4	$40.56	$13.76	0.34×	—
Paradox Rift Booster Box Case	Case	216	$1,845	$742.89	0.40×	—
Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister [Arctibax]	Blister	3	$31.00	$10.32	0.33×	—
Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister [Cetitan]	Blister	3	$29.61	$10.32	0.35×	—
Paradox Rift 3 Pack Blister [Set of 2]	Blister	3	$54.31	$10.32	0.19×	—