Pitch Black Elite Trainer Box Case – price, EV & deals
From Pitch Black · Mega Evolution
$668.65TCGplayer market · updated 48m ago0.32×
Listings range $669.79 – $1,675, mid $844.75
- Product type
- Case
- Packs
- 90 packs
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- Jul 17, 2026
Price history last 180 days
Expected value of opening
0.32×computed Sep 15, 2026Well below break-even: opening returns only about 32% of the $668.65 price in raw card value. Hold sealed for appreciation or buy singles; do not open this expecting to recover the cost.
- EV per pack
- $2.34
- 90 packs per case
- EV gross
- $210.97
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- EV net
- $131.34
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.20× price
- Break-even price
- $210.97
- pay less than this and opening beats buying singles on average
- Chase share
- 49%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret)
- P(at least one top hit)
- 100%
- in the whole case
- Hit rate per pack
- 18%
- illustration rare or better
- Pull rates
- Published
- source: published
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare | 6 | 1 in 102.5 packs | $70.90 | $0.69 | Mega Darkrai ex #116 · $193.20 |
| Ultra Rare | 18 | 1 in 12 packs | $4.88 | $0.41 | Misty's Vitality #111 · $12.81 |
| Illustration Rare | 11 | 1 in 10 packs | $3.12 | $0.31 | Slowbro #90 · $8.97 |
| Double Rare | 10 | 1 in 5 packs | $0.65 | $0.13 | Mega Delphox ex #8 · $0.70 |
| Mega Hyper Rare | 1 | 1 in 1315 packs | $151.82 | $0.12 | Mega Darkrai ex #120 · $151.82 |
| Guaranteed slots | — | every pack | — | $0.69 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Active eBay deals
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Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $668.65), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline with a confident card, condition and variant match — seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment; listings are re-checked every 15 minutes.
