Pullnomics

Pitch Black pull rates

Pack-opening counts, as listed Sep 15, 2026 · Mega Evolution · released Jul 17, 2026

Odds per pack

TierOdds per packAvg per box (36)
Double Rare1 in 57.2
Illustration Rare
11 cards
1 in 10
1 in 9–11
3.6
Ultra Rare
18 cards
1 in 123.0
Special Illustration Rare
6 cards
1 in 102.5
1 in 80–125
0.35
Mega Hyper Rare
1 card
1 in 1,315
1 in 1,260–1,370
0.03

Tier names follow the source’s. Where it lists a range, the odds are the midpoint.

Chance of at least one

Tierbundle (6)ETB (9)box (36)
Double Rare74%87%over 99%
Illustration Rare47%61%98%
Ultra Rare41%54%96%
Special Illustration Rare5.7%8.4%30%
Mega Hyper Rare0.5%0.7%2.7%

The number beside each product is its pack count (ETB is the Elite Trainer Box; its Pokémon Center version holds 11). Each pack is treated as a separate draw at the listed rate. The counts do not say how hits are spread inside one box, so these are approximations.

Odds of one named card

TierOne named cardEven-chance packs
Illustration Rare
11 cards
1 in 11076
Ultra Rare
18 cards
1 in 216150
Special Illustration Rare
6 cards
1 in 615426
Mega Hyper Rare
1 card
1 in 1,315912

The source gives one rate for a whole tier, so every card of a tier is taken as equally likely. “Packs for an even chance” is how many packs it takes before pulling that one card is as likely as not.

What the cards are worth

RarityAverageMost valuable
Mega Hyper Rare
1 card
$144.66Mega Darkrai ex #120 $144.66
Special Illustration Rare
6 cards
$68.97Mega Darkrai ex #116 $186.88
Ultra Rare
18 cards
$4.64Misty's Vitality #111 $11.79
Illustration Rare
11 cards
$3.04Slowbro #90 $8.52
Double Rare
10 cards
$0.62Mega Darkrai ex #48 $0.73

TCGplayer market prices for raw Near Mint copies, as of Sep 19, 2026. Rarity names here are the card database’s, which is why they can differ from the tier names above. Commons, uncommons and regular rares are left out: the card list has every card.

Sealed products

ProductMarket priceAverage pulls
Pitch Black Booster Box
36 packs
$185.92$81.71
Pitch Black Elite Trainer Box
9 packs
$72.37$20.43
Pitch Black Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive)
11 packs
$119.77$24.97
Pitch Black Booster Bundle
6 packs
$39.28$13.62

“Average pulls” is what the cards in the product are worth on average at TCGplayer market prices, before any selling fees: the listed odds the card database can match, times today’s card prices, plus a small capped value for the common, uncommon and rare slots. Box value board · how it is worked out

Reading these figures

  • The rates come from the evolvault.com pull-rate calculator, which adds up TCGplayer pack-opening datasets and community counts. They are not official odds from The Pokémon Company, and a different sample would give somewhat different numbers. Sources and cross-checks.
  • The rarest tiers rest on the fewest pulls, so their odds are the least certain on the page. Where the source lists a range it is shown beside the figure; a single figure is not a sign of a more exact count.
  • Odds are averages over many packs. A single box, or ten, can land well above or below them.