Stellar Crown Premium Checklane Blister [Roaring Moon] – price, EV & deals

From Stellar Crown · Scarlet & Violet

$13.95TCGplayer market · updated 2h ago0.26×

Listings range $13.85 – $60.00, mid $19.50

Product type: Blister
Packs: 1 pack
Cards per pack: 10
Released: Sep 13, 2024

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Price history last 180 days

Market$13.95One daily snapshot so far — the line fills in as TCGplayer market prices are captured each day (up to 180 days shown).

Expected value of opening

0.26×computed Sep 15, 2026

Well below break-even: opening returns only about 26% of the $13.95 price in raw card value. Hold sealed for appreciation or buy singles; do not open this expecting to recover the cost.

EV per pack: $3.66; 1 packs per blister
EV gross: $3.66; raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
EV net: $2.41; after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.17× price
Break-even price: $3.66; pay less than this and opening beats buying singles on average
Chase share: 16%; share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret)
P(at least one top hit): 20%; in the whole blister
Hit rate per pack: 20%; illustration rare or better
Pull rates: Published; source: published

Per-rarity contribution to EV per pack. Mean price is the average TCGplayer market of every card at that rarity in the set.
Rarity	Cards	Pull rate	Mean price	EV / pack	Top card
Illustration Rare	13	1 in 13 packs	$23.08	$1.78	Squirtle #148 · $101.71
Special Illustration Rare	6	1 in 90 packs	$32.78	$0.36	Dachsbun ex #169 · $76.08
Double Rare	14	1 in 6 packs	$1.38	$0.23	Blastoise ex #30 · $3.56
Ultra Rare	11	1 in 15 packs	$3.15	$0.21	Lapras ex #158 · $7.07
Hyper Rare	3	1 in 131 packs	$8.23	$0.06	Terapagos ex #173 · $11.38
ACE SPEC Rare	3	1 in 20 packs	$0.41	$0.02	Grand Tree #136 · $0.55
Guaranteed slots	—	every pack	—	$0.99	rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value

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Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $13.95), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline with a confident card, condition and variant match — seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment; listings are re-checked every 15 minutes.

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