Pullnomics

Chilling Reign pull rates

Pack-opening counts, as listed Sep 15, 2026 · Sword & Shield · released Jun 18, 2021

Odds per pack

TierOdds per packAvg per box (36)
Full Art V & Trainer
29 cards
1 in 27
1 in 24–30
1.3
VMAX
8 cards
1 in 30
1 in 24–36
1.2
Hyper Rare
20 cards
1 in 1220.30
Alternate Art V
10 cards
1 in 1470.24
Alternate Art VMAX
3 cards
1 in 4550.08

Tier names follow the source’s. Where it lists a range, the odds are the midpoint.

Chance of at least one

TierETB (8)box (36)
Full Art V & Trainer26%74%
VMAX24%70%
Hyper Rare6.4%26%
Alternate Art V5.3%22%
Alternate Art VMAX1.7%7.6%

The number beside each product is its pack count (ETB is the Elite Trainer Box; its Pokémon Center version holds 10). Each pack is treated as a separate draw at the listed rate. The counts do not say how hits are spread inside one box, so these are approximations.

Odds of one named card

TierOne named cardEven-chance packs
Full Art V & Trainer
29 cards
1 in 783543
VMAX
8 cards
1 in 240167
Hyper Rare
20 cards
1 in 2,4401,691
Alternate Art V
10 cards
1 in 1,4701,019
Alternate Art VMAX
3 cards
1 in 1,365946

The source gives one rate for a whole tier, so every card of a tier is taken as equally likely. “Packs for an even chance” is how many packs it takes before pulling that one card is as likely as not.

What the cards are worth

RarityAverageMost valuable
Alternate Art VMAX
3 cards
$163.02Blaziken VMAX #201 $383.40
Alternate Art V
10 cards
$79.92Galarian Moltres V #177 $235.22
Rare Secret
12 cards
$18.39Snorlax #224 $138.94
Rare Rainbow
20 cards
$10.73Blaziken VMAX #200 $30.59
Rare Ultra
29 cards
$8.62Caitlin #189 $24.78
Rare Holo VMAX
8 cards
$2.44Blaziken VMAX #21 $5.07
Rare Holo V
15 cards
$1.14Galarian Moltres V #97 $1.76

TCGplayer market prices for raw Near Mint copies, as of Sep 19, 2026. Rarity names here are the card database’s, which is why they can differ from the tier names above. It files an alternate-art card under its printed rarity (Rare Ultra, Rare Rainbow). This site keeps its own checked list of the cards in the tiers the source counts apart, so those tiers have rows of their own here. Commons, uncommons and regular rares are left out: the card list has every card.

Sealed products

“Average pulls” is what the cards in the product are worth on average at TCGplayer market prices, before any selling fees: the listed odds the card database can match, times today’s card prices, plus a small capped value for the common, uncommon and rare slots. The alternate-art tiers above are counted at their own rates: the card database does not mark alternate arts, so the figure works from this site’s checked list of the set’s alternate-art cards. Box value board · how it is worked out

Reading these figures

  • The rates come from the evolvault.com pull-rate calculator, which adds up TCGplayer pack-opening datasets and community counts. They are not official odds from The Pokémon Company, and a different sample would give somewhat different numbers. Sources and cross-checks.
  • The rarest tiers rest on the fewest pulls, so their odds are the least certain on the page. Where the source lists a range it is shown beside the figure; a single figure is not a sign of a more exact count.
  • Odds are averages over many packs. A single box, or ten, can land well above or below them.