Astral Radiance Elite Trainer Box Case – price, EV & deals
From Astral Radiance · Sword & Shield
$1,732TCGplayer market · updated 1h ago0.09×
Listings range $1,790 – $2,000, mid $1,900
- Product type
- Case
- Packs
- 90 packs
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- May 27, 2022
Price history last 180 days
Expected value of opening
0.09×computed Sep 16, 2026Well below break-even: opening returns only about 9% of the $1,732 price in raw card value. Hold sealed for appreciation or buy singles; do not open this expecting to recover the cost.
- EV per pack
- $1.70
- 90 packs per case
- EV gross
- $153.01
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- EV net
- $81.43
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.05× price
- Break-even price
- $153.01
- pay less than this and opening beats buying singles on average
- Chase share
- 20%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret)
- P(at least one top hit)
- 100%
- in the whole case
- Hit rate per pack
- 9%
- illustration rare or better
- Pull rates
- Published
- source: published
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rare Ultra | 30 | 1 in 50.5 packs | $20.52 | $0.41 | Machamp V #172 · $198.95 |
| Rare Holo V | 19 | 1 in 7.5 packs | $1.30 | $0.17 | Luxray V #50 · $3.36 |
| Rare Rainbow | 18 | 1 in 83 packs | $8.38 | $0.10 | Origin Forme Dialga VSTAR #198 · $17.63 |
| Radiant Rare | 3 | 1 in 19.5 packs | $1.16 | $0.06 | Radiant Greninja #46 · $2.32 |
| Rare Secret | 9 | 1 in 130 packs | $7.21 | $0.06 | Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR #208 · $13.85 |
| Guaranteed slots | — | every pack | — | $0.90 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Model notes (1)
- no cards with rarity "Trainer Gallery Rare Holo" in set
Active eBay deals
Email me when a new deal appearsNo deals right now
Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $1,732), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline with a confident card, condition and variant match — seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment; listings are re-checked every 15 minutes.
