Pullnomics

Crown Zenith Tin [Galarian Moltres]

From Crown Zenith · Sword & Shield

$154.94TCGplayer market · as of Oct 30, 20261 eBay deal below market

The cards inside are worth $47.37 on average at TCGplayer market prices, 31% of the price, before any selling fees. How that is worked out

Crown Zenith Tin [Galarian Moltres]

Listings range $150.00 – $250.00, mid $170.00

Product type
Tin
Packs
5 packs
Cards per pack
10
Released
Mar 17, 2023

Shop this product on eBay

TCGplayer market is $154.94. Anything listed under $136.34 is at least 12% below it before shipping.

Buy It Now · US sellers · English printing · Lowest price first

No matches on the first button means this search found nothing listed under that price right now. The second button shows every current price.

What these searches leave out

Proxies, lots, code cards and other-language printings are excluded, and results are Buy It Now from US sellers, sorted by price plus shipping. Listings under $77.00 are left out because at that price they are almost always a different item. “Recently sold” opens eBay’s own sold listings for the same search, auctions included: what copies sold for, on eBay’s site. This site records none of those prices. You can save either search on eBay to be emailed new matches.

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Price history up to 180 days

Market$154.94-1.2% since Sep 15, 2026, from $156.88

What’s in the tin

5 packs × 10 cards = 50 cards

All 5 packs are Crown Zenith packs. Sources: PokeGuardian · Bulbapedia

Expected value of opening

0.31×computed Oct 30, 2026

Well below break-even: the cards inside are worth about 31% of the $154.94 price on average at market prices. For specific cards, singles cost less.

EV per pack
$9.47
5 packs per tin
EV gross
$47.37
raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
of which bulk
$2.10
the common and uncommon slots, at half their capped market price; not individually sellable
EV net
$35.34
after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.23× price
Break-even price
$47.37
the price at which gross EV equals what you paid, before any cost of selling
Chase share
18%
share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret, a separate alternate-art tier)
P(at least one hit)
90%
any hit tier, in the whole tin: Illustration Rare or better, or a special tier such as ACE SPEC, shiny or gallery cards
Hit rate per pack
37%
Illustration Rare or better, or a special tier such as ACE SPEC, shiny or gallery cards
Pull rates
Published, partly
source: evolvault.com pull-rate calculator, which lists no rate for Rare Ultra, so an era average stands in there: about 2% of this pack’s EV. all pull-rate tiers
Per-rarity contribution to EV per pack. Mean price is the average TCGplayer market price of the cards counted in that row. Avg. per tin is its 5 packs divided by the N in the pull rate (1 in N packs): an average across many, not what any one tin holds.
RarityEV / pack
Galarian Gallery V, VSTAR & Trainer1 in 9 packs · avg. 0.56 per tin · 32 cards, mean $33.21Top: Mewtwo VSTAR #GG44 · $242.63$3.69
Galarian Gallery holo1 in 4.5 packs · avg. 1.1 per tin · 34 cards, mean $10.89Top: Mew #GG10 · $69.06$2.42
Galarian Gallery Gold VSTAR1 in 146 packs · avg. 0.03 per tin · 4 cards, mean $162.57Top: Giratina VSTAR #GG69 · $282.88$1.11
Rare Secret1 in 100 packs · avg. 0.05 per tin · 1 card, mean $37.38Top: Pikachu #160 · $37.38$0.37
Rare Holo V1 in 8 packs · avg. 0.63 per tin · 17 cards, mean $2.13Top: Eevee V #108 · $7.33$0.27
VMAX & VSTAR1 in 18.5 packs · avg. 0.27 per tin · 13 cards, mean $3.84Top: Rayquaza VMAX #102 · $11.44$0.21
Radiant Rare1 in 26.5 packs · avg. 0.19 per tin · 3 cards, mean $4.70Top: Radiant Charizard #20 · $12.72$0.18
Rare Ultraera average1 in 30 packs · avg. 0.17 per tin · 13 cards, mean $4.42Top: Elesa's Sparkle #147 · $14.97$0.15
Guaranteed slotsevery pack: rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value$1.08

Each listing is priced, shipping included, against the TCGplayer market for the matched card or product. A card’s market is a Near Mint price, so a card listing is scored only when it states Near Mint; played copies and listings that state no condition are not listed. Deal Score 0–100 measures how far below that market it lands, weighted by match confidence. Auctions are down-weighted because the price can still rise.

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Pokémon TCG Crown Zenith Tin Galarian Moltres Sealed

$130.00free shippingmarket $154.9416% below market
NMBuy It Nowhigh confidenceakdickinson16 (100%)found confirmed listed
  • Landed price $130.00 = $130.00 item + $0.00 shipping
  • Baseline: TCGplayer market $154.94 (Normal)
  • Savings $24.94 (16% below) → Deal Score 30 at 85% confidence

Guides for this product

Other Crown Zenith sealed products

No other sealed products from Crown Zenith are tracked yet.