Lost Origin Booster Pack – price, EV & deals
From Lost Origin · Sword & Shield
$18.40TCGplayer market · updated 2h ago0.12×
Listings range $16.90 – $29.99, mid $19.74
- Product type
- Booster Pack
- Packs
- 1 pack
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- Sep 9, 2022
Price history last 180 days
Expected value of opening
0.12×computed Sep 15, 2026Well below break-even: opening returns only about 12% of the $18.40 price in raw card value. Hold sealed for appreciation or buy singles; do not open this expecting to recover the cost.
- EV per pack
- $2.22
- 1 packs per booster pack
- EV gross
- $2.22
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- EV net
- $1.37
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.07× price
- Break-even price
- $2.22
- pay less than this and opening beats buying singles on average
- Chase share
- 13%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret)
- P(at least one top hit)
- 8%
- in the whole booster pack
- Hit rate per pack
- 8%
- illustration rare or better
- Pull rates
- Published
- source: published
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rare Ultra | 25 | 1 in 51 packs | $46.90 | $0.92 | Giratina V #186 · $838.53 |
| Rare Holo V | 12 | 1 in 8.5 packs | $0.97 | $0.11 | Giratina V #130 · $1.83 |
| Rare Rainbow | 15 | 1 in 71.5 packs | $7.98 | $0.11 | Giratina VSTAR #201 · $28.85 |
| Rare Secret | 6 | 1 in 114 packs | $5.71 | $0.05 | Giratina VSTAR #212 · $18.52 |
| Radiant Rare | 3 | 1 in 22.5 packs | $1.09 | $0.05 | Radiant Gardevoir #69 · $1.67 |
| Guaranteed slots | — | every pack | — | $0.98 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Model notes (1)
- no cards with rarity "Trainer Gallery Rare Holo" in set
Active eBay deals
Email me when a new deal appearsNo deals right now
Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $18.40), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline with a confident card, condition and variant match — seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment; listings are re-checked every 15 minutes.
Other Lost Origin sealed products
| Product | Type | Packs | Market | EV (gross) | EV ratio | Deals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arceus VSTAR Ultra-Premium Collection Case | Case | — | — | — | n/a | — |
 Arceus VSTAR Premium Collection | Premium Collection | 6 | $295.16 | $13.31 | 0.05× | — |
 Arceus VSTAR Ultra-Premium Collection | Premium Collection | 16 | $380.29 | $35.50 | 0.09× | — |
 Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR Premium Collection | Premium Collection | 6 | $198.92 | $13.31 | 0.07× | — |
 Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR Premium Collection (International Version) | Premium Collection | 6 | $99.93 | $13.31 | 0.13× | — |
 Lost Origin 3 Pack Blister [Regigigas] | Blister | 3 | $53.97 | $6.66 | 0.12× | — |