![Paldean Fates Tin [Charizard ex]](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/528056_400w.jpg)
Paldean Fates Tin [Charizard ex] – price, EV & deals
From Paldean Fates · Scarlet & Violet
$205.49TCGplayer market · updated 2h ago0.16×
Listings range $179.99 – $500.00, mid $229.99
- Product type
- Tin
- Packs
- 5 packs
- Cards per pack
- 10
- Released
- Feb 9, 2024
Price history last 180 days
Expected value of opening
0.16×computed Sep 15, 2026Well below break-even: opening returns only about 16% of the $205.49 price in raw card value. Hold sealed for appreciation or buy singles; do not open this expecting to recover the cost.
- EV per pack
- $6.46
- 5 packs per tin
- EV gross
- $32.30
- raw TCGplayer market value of the average pulls
- EV net
- $23.80
- after 15% fees and $1 shipping per card; 0.12× price
- Break-even price
- $32.30
- pay less than this and opening beats buying singles on average
- Chase share
- 59%
- share of hit value from top-tier rarities (SIR, hyper, secret)
- P(at least one top hit)
- 94%
- in the whole tin
- Hit rate per pack
- 42%
- illustration rare or better
- Pull rates
- Published
- source: published
| Rarity | Cards | Pull rate | Mean price | EV / pack | Top card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare | 8 | 1 in 62.5 packs | $176.15 | $2.82 | Mew ex #232 · $876.57 |
| Shiny Rare | 120 | 1 in 4 packs | $8.48 | $2.12 | Pikachu #131 · $79.06 |
| Shiny Ultra Rare | 12 | 1 in 12 packs | $5.30 | $0.44 | Mew ex #216 · $33.59 |
| Illustration Rare | 3 | 1 in 13 packs | $2.50 | $0.19 | Pawmi #226 · $3.28 |
| Hyper Rare | 6 | 1 in 97.5 packs | $10.76 | $0.11 | Miraidon ex #243 · $16.25 |
| Ultra Rare | 5 | 1 in 14.5 packs | $0.73 | $0.05 | Judge #228 · $0.94 |
| Guaranteed slots | — | every pack | — | $0.73 | rare slot, reverse holo, commons and uncommons at bulk value |
Active eBay deals
Email me when a new deal appearsNo deals right now
Every active eBay listing matched to this product is compared against the TCGplayer market price (currently $205.49), shipping included. A listing only counts as a deal when it lands at least 12% below that baseline with a confident card, condition and variant match — seller “was” prices are ignored. Nothing qualifies at the moment; listings are re-checked every 15 minutes.
Other Paldean Fates sealed products
| Product | Type | Packs | Market | EV (gross) | EV ratio | Deals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box | Elite Trainer Box | 9 | $442.26 | $58.15 | 0.13× | — |
 Paldean Fates Booster Bundle | Booster Bundle | 6 | $168.27 | $38.77 | 0.23× | — |
 Paldean Fates Booster Bundle Display | Booster Bundle | 6 | $1,573 | $38.77 | 0.02× | — |
 Paldean Fates Booster Pack | Booster Pack | 1 | $24.42 | $6.46 | 0.26× | — |
 Paldean Fates Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] | Booster Pack | 4 | $96.46 | $25.84 | 0.27× | — |
 Paldean Fates Booster Bundle Display Case | Case | — | $8,928 | — | n/a | — |
 Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box Case | Case | 90 | $3,757 | $581.49 | 0.15× | — |