30th Celebration pull rates
Pack-opening counts, as listed after the set’s release · Mega Evolution · released Sep 16, 2026
Odds per pack
| Tier | Odds per pack | Avg per ETB (9)Average per Elite Trainer Box (9 packs) |
|---|---|---|
| Pikachu Rare (1 per pack) 30 cards | 1 in 1 | 9.0 |
| Pokémon ex (Double Rare) | 1 in 4.5 1 in 4–5 | 2.0 |
| Illustration Rare 18 cards | 1 in 5.5 1 in 5–6 | 1.6 |
| Classic Collection 30 cards | 1 in 10 1 in 9–11 | 0.90 |
| Special Illustration Rare 10 cards | 1 in 19.5 1 in 17–22 | 0.46 |
| Futuristic Rare 2 cards | 1 in 105 1 in 75–135 | 0.09 |
| RGB Rare 3 cards | 1 in 11,860 1 in 720–23,000 | under 0.01 |
Tier names follow the source’s. Where it lists a range, the odds are the midpoint.
Chance of at least one
| Tier | bundle (6) | ETB (9) |
|---|---|---|
| Pikachu Rare (1 per pack) | 100% | 100% |
| Pokémon ex (Double Rare) | 78% | 90% |
| Illustration Rare | 70% | 84% |
| Classic Collection | 47% | 61% |
| Special Illustration Rare | 27% | 38% |
| Futuristic Rare | 5.6% | 8.3% |
| RGB Rare | under 0.1% | under 0.1% |
The number beside each product is its pack count (ETB is the Elite Trainer Box; its Pokémon Center version holds 11). Each pack is treated as a separate draw at the listed rate. The counts do not say how hits are spread inside one box, so these are approximations.
Odds of one named card
| Tier | One named card | Even-chance packsPacks for an even chance |
|---|---|---|
| Pikachu Rare (1 per pack) 30 cards | 1 in 30 | 21 |
| Illustration Rare 18 cards | 1 in 99 | 69 |
| Classic Collection 30 cards | 1 in 300 | 208 |
| Special Illustration Rare 10 cards | 1 in 195 | 135 |
| Futuristic Rare 2 cards | 1 in 210 | 146 |
| RGB Rare 3 cards | 1 in 35,580 | 24,662 |
The source gives one rate for a whole tier, so every card of a tier is taken as equally likely. “Packs for an even chance” is how many packs it takes before pulling that one card is as likely as not.
What the cards are worth
| Rarity | Average | Most valuable | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RGB Rare 3 cards | $3,973 | Mew #R $4,492 | |
| Futuristic Rare 2 cards | $34.21 | Mew ex #158 $39.28 | |
| Special Illustration Rare 10 cards | $33.86 | Mew ex #152 $62.99 | |
| Illustration Rare 18 cards | $3.03 | Maushold #146 $7.25 | |
| Double Rare 12 cards | $0.76 | Mew ex #66 $1.66 | |
| Pikachu Rare 30 cards | $0.74 | Pikachu #40 $3.17 | |
| : Classic Collection · same packs | |||
| Rare Secret 2 cards | $79.40 | Lugia #149 $138.75 | |
| Illustration Rare 1 card | $70.40 | Magikarp #203 $70.40 | |
| Rare Prime 1 card | $51.32 | Gengar #94 $51.32 | |
| Holo Rare VMAX 1 card | $18.70 | Mew VMAX #114 $18.70 | |
| LEGEND 2 cards | $18.17 | Darkrai & Cresselia LEGEND #99 $18.37 | |
| Rare Ultra 1 card | $14.11 | N #101 $14.11 | |
| Rare Holo GX 3 cards | $12.51 | Pikachu & Zekrom-GX #33 $27.13 | |
| Rare Holo EX 3 cards | $11.83 | Rayquaza-EX #85 $17.72 | |
| Rare Holo ex 1 card | $10.46 | Scizor ex #108 $10.46 | |
| Holo Rare VSTAR 1 card | $10.33 | Arceus VSTAR #123 $10.33 | |
| Rare BREAK 1 card | $10.04 | Greninja BREAK #41 $10.04 | |
| Classic Collection 1 card | $9.76 | Palkia LV.X #106 $9.76 | |
| Amazing Rare 1 card | $9.63 | Raikou #50 $9.63 | |
| Holo Rare V 1 card | $6.71 | Zacian V #138 $6.71 | |
| Rare Holo LV.X 1 card | not priced | not priced | |
TCGplayer market prices for raw Near Mint copies, as of Nov 5, 2026. Rarity names here are the card database’s, which is why they can differ from the tier names above. Commons, uncommons and regular rares are left out: the card list has every card.
Sealed products
| Product | Market price | EV (gross) |
|---|---|---|
| 30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box 9 packs ($12.39 each) | $111.50 | $47.38 |
| 30th Celebration Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box 11 packs ($24.63 each) | $270.90 | $57.91 |
| 30th Celebration Booster Bundle 6 packs ($11.54 each) | $69.27 | $31.59 |
“EV (gross)” is what the cards in the product are worth on average at TCGplayer market prices, before any selling fees: the listed odds the card database can match, times today’s card prices, plus a capped value for the rare, reverse-holo, common and uncommon slots. “Per pack” is the market price divided by the packs, promos and extras included. Box value board · how it is worked out
Reading these figures
- The rates come from the evolvault.com pull-rate calculator, which adds up TCGplayer pack-opening datasets and community counts. They are not official odds from The Pokémon Company, and a different sample would give somewhat different numbers. Sources and cross-checks.
- The rarest tiers rest on the fewest pulls, so their odds are the least certain on the page. Where the source lists a range it is shown beside the figure; a single figure is not a sign of a more exact count.
- Odds are averages over many packs. A single box, or ten, can land well above or below them.