Pullnomics

Ascended Heroes pull rates

Pack-opening counts, as listed Sep 15, 2026 · Mega Evolution · released Jan 30, 2026

Odds per pack

TierOdds per packAvg per ETB (9)
Illustration Rare
33 cards
1 in 8.5
1 in 8–9
1.1
Ultra Rare
14 cards
1 in 11
1 in 10–12
0.82
Mega Attack Rare
7 cards
1 in 35
1 in 30–40
0.26
Special Illustration Rare
22 cards
1 in 88.5
1 in 67–110
0.10
Mega Hyper Rare
2 cards
1 in 5400.02
God Pack1 in 975
1 in 950–1,000
under 0.01

Tier names follow the source’s. Where it lists a range, the odds are the midpoint.

Chance of at least one

Tierbundle (6)ETB (9)
Illustration Rare53%68%
Ultra Rare44%58%
Mega Attack Rare16%23%
Special Illustration Rare6.6%9.7%
Mega Hyper Rare1.1%1.7%
God Pack0.6%0.9%

The number beside each product is its pack count (ETB is the Elite Trainer Box; its Pokémon Center version holds 11). Each pack is treated as a separate draw at the listed rate. The counts do not say how hits are spread inside one box, so these are approximations.

Odds of one named card

TierOne named cardEven-chance packs
Illustration Rare
33 cards
1 in 281195
Ultra Rare
14 cards
1 in 154107
Mega Attack Rare
7 cards
1 in 245170
Special Illustration Rare
22 cards
1 in 1,9471,350
Mega Hyper Rare
2 cards
1 in 1,080749

The source gives one rate for a whole tier, so every card of a tier is taken as equally likely. “Packs for an even chance” is how many packs it takes before pulling that one card is as likely as not.

What the cards are worth

RarityAverageMost valuable
Mega Hyper Rare
2 cards
$287.14Mega Charizard Y ex #294 $355.95
Special Illustration Rare
22 cards
$187.02Pikachu ex #276 $955.08
Mega Attack Rare
7 cards
$15.67Mega Gengar ex #269 $45.85
Illustration Rare
33 cards
$7.95Psyduck #226 $59.49
Ultra Rare
14 cards
$1.83Boss's Orders #256 $6.27
Double Rare
39 cards
$1.33Mega Charizard Y ex #22 $6.61

TCGplayer market prices for raw Near Mint copies, as of Sep 19, 2026. Rarity names here are the card database’s, which is why they can differ from the tier names above. Commons, uncommons and regular rares are left out: the card list has every card.

Sealed products

ProductMarket priceAverage pulls
Ascended Heroes Elite Trainer Box
9 packs
$152.30$45.54
Ascended Heroes Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive)
11 packs
$371.45$55.65
Ascended Heroes Booster Bundle
6 packs
$85.48$30.36

“Average pulls” is what the cards in the product are worth on average at TCGplayer market prices, before any selling fees: the listed odds the card database can match, times today’s card prices, plus a small capped value for the common, uncommon and rare slots. Box value board · how it is worked out

Reading these figures

  • The rates come from the evolvault.com pull-rate calculator, which adds up TCGplayer pack-opening datasets and community counts. They are not official odds from The Pokémon Company, and a different sample would give somewhat different numbers. Sources and cross-checks.
  • The rarest tiers rest on the fewest pulls, so their odds are the least certain on the page. Where the source lists a range it is shown beside the figure; a single figure is not a sign of a more exact count.
  • Odds are averages over many packs. A single box, or ten, can land well above or below them.