Pullnomics

Destined Rivals pull rates

Pack-opening counts, as listed Sep 15, 2026 · Scarlet & Violet · released May 30, 2025

Odds per pack

TierOdds per packAvg per box (36)
Illustration Rare
23 cards
1 in 123.0
Any ex or above1 in 162.3
Special Illustration Rare
11 cards
1 in 940.38
Hyper Rare
6 cards
1 in 1490.24

Tier names follow the source’s.

Chance of at least one

Tierbundle (6)ETB (9)box (36)
Illustration Rare41%54%96%
Any ex or above32%44%90%
Special Illustration Rare6.2%9.2%32%
Hyper Rare4%5.9%22%

The number beside each product is its pack count (ETB is the Elite Trainer Box; its Pokémon Center version holds 11). Each pack is treated as a separate draw at the listed rate. The counts do not say how hits are spread inside one box, so these are approximations.

Odds of one named card

TierOne named cardEven-chance packs
Illustration Rare
23 cards
1 in 276191
Special Illustration Rare
11 cards
1 in 1,034717
Hyper Rare
6 cards
1 in 894620

The source gives one rate for a whole tier, so every card of a tier is taken as equally likely. “Packs for an even chance” is how many packs it takes before pulling that one card is as likely as not.

What the cards are worth

RarityAverageMost valuable
Special Illustration Rare
11 cards
$108.28Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex #231 $437.63
Hyper Rare
6 cards
$22.43Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex #240 $55.52
Illustration Rare
23 cards
$11.24Misty's Psyduck #193 $58.38
Ultra Rare
22 cards
$3.93Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex #213 $20.37
Double Rare
17 cards
$0.75Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex #81 $1.94

TCGplayer market prices for raw Near Mint copies, as of Sep 19, 2026. Rarity names here are the card database’s, which is why they can differ from the tier names above. Commons, uncommons and regular rares are left out: the card list has every card.

Sealed products

ProductMarket priceAverage pulls
Destined Rivals Booster Box
36 packs
$424.02$116.02
Destined Rivals Elite Trainer Box
9 packs
$112.29$29.00
Destined Rivals Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive)
11 packs
$440.40$35.45
Destined Rivals Booster Bundle
6 packs
$66.02$19.34

“Average pulls” is what the cards in the product are worth on average at TCGplayer market prices, before any selling fees: the listed odds the card database can match, times today’s card prices, plus a small capped value for the common, uncommon and rare slots. Box value board · how it is worked out

Reading these figures

  • The rates come from the evolvault.com pull-rate calculator, which adds up TCGplayer pack-opening datasets and community counts. They are not official odds from The Pokémon Company, and a different sample would give somewhat different numbers. Sources and cross-checks.
  • The rarest tiers rest on the fewest pulls, so their odds are the least certain on the page.
  • Odds are averages over many packs. A single box, or ten, can land well above or below them.